Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 28, 2026

Get the playerWON NHL prediction for the Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins matchup on March 28, 2026. playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model currently gives the Dallas Stars a 57.3% win probability.

๐Ÿค– Model favours Dallas Stars (57.3%)
Compare market odds, fair odds, and value below.
March 28, 2026
Visitor Model vs Market
Dallas Stars logo
Dallas Stars
57.3%
Fair American: -134
Fair Decimal: 1.75
Calculate Value โ†’
Home Model vs Market
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Pittsburgh Penguins
42.7%
Fair American: +134
Fair Decimal: 2.34
Calculate Value โ†’
๐Ÿ“Š Season Overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
112 Points 98
0.683 Points % 0.598
279 Goals For 293
226 Goals Against 268
53 Goal Differential 25
W5 Current Streak L3
๐Ÿš Road vs ๐Ÿ  Home
Dallas Stars DAL (Road)
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT (Home)
41 Games 41
24 Wins 20
56 Points 48
30 Goal Differential 7
๐Ÿ”ฅ Last 10 Games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
7-2-1 Record 5-5-0
15 Points 10
34 Goals For 46
28 Goals Against 40
6 Goal Differential 6
๐Ÿฅ… Last 10 Head-to-Head Games
Dallas Stars DAL
H2H Summary
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
7-3 Record 3-7
30 Total Goals 21
+9 Goal Differential -9
3.0 Goals / Game 2.1
29.0 Shots / Game 30.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 7, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars
2 - 3 29 - 23 View
Apr 5, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars
5 - 3 40 - 24 View
Nov 11, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins
7 - 1 40 - 21 View
Mar 22, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars
2 - 4 22 - 23 View
Oct 24, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 1 34 - 39 View
Mar 23, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars
2 - 3 42 - 33 View
Dec 12, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins
1 - 2 27 - 25 View
Jan 8, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars
2 - 3 29 - 32 View
Oct 19, 2021
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars @ Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 1 29 - 28 View
Oct 26, 2019
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Pittsburgh Penguins @ Dallas Stars
3 - 0 27 - 25 View

This matchup prediction is generated using playerWONโ€™s machine-learning model, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.