Forward trio
104:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 72
- Corsi share
- 52.0%
- Fenwick share
- 52.3%
- xG for / against
- 6.00 / 4.89
Dallas Stars vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 26, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at New York Islanders
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 26, 2026.
March 26, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
132:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 132
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 89
- Corsi share
- 43.8%
- Fenwick share
- 45.7%
- xG for / against
- 4.83 / 5.09
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:21 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 91 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 49
- Corsi share
- 59.5%
- Fenwick share
- 57.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.60 / 3.31
Defense pair
107:30 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 108 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 74 / 68
- Corsi share
- 53.5%
- Fenwick share
- 52.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.38 / 5.49
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 91.3
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 38.1
David Rittich
New York Islanders · Last start: Mar 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 106
- Save %
- 86.8
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 33.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.11
- xG against / game
- 3.12
- xG differential / game
- -0.01
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
New York Islanders
- xG for / game
- 3.34
- xG against / game
- 3.09
- xG differential / game
- 0.25
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.8
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 50.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 23.9 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 30.6 ft
New York Islanders
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 65.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.2
- Faceoff win %
- 54.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.0
Shots / game: 31.3 · Shooting: 8.3% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 14 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.583 |
| 33 | Goals for | 36 |
| 25 | Goals against | 32 |
| 8 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
NYI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 8 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
NYI
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 32 | Goals for | 29 |
| 19 | Goals against | 30 |
| 13 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
NYI
5 wins
Total goals28 – 25
Goal differential
+3
/
-3
Goals per game2.8 / 2.5
Shots per game32.6 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 |
New York Islanders
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 24 | View |
| Feb 23, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Islanders
|
4 - 3 | 29 - 37 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 3 | 34 - 27 | View |
| Feb 26, 2024 |
New York Islanders
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Jan 21, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 3 | 43 - 28 | View |
| Jan 10, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 1 | 26 - 28 | View |
| Nov 19, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 5 | 29 - 35 | View |
| Apr 5, 2022 |
New York Islanders
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 40 | View |
| Mar 19, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Islanders
|
2 - 4 | 39 - 25 | View |
| Feb 4, 2020 |
Dallas Stars
at
New York Islanders
|
3 - 4 | 31 - 41 | View |