Forward trio
109:05 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 91
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 67
- Corsi share
- 52.8%
- Fenwick share
- 51.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.83 / 4.35
Dallas Stars vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2026.
March 21, 2026
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
132:30 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 101 / 120
- Fenwick for / against
- 76 / 85
- Corsi share
- 45.7%
- Fenwick share
- 47.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.49 / 4.35
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
85:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 67
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 57
- Corsi share
- 59.4%
- Fenwick share
- 55.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.74 / 3.72
Defense pair
148:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 174 / 113
- Fenwick for / against
- 128 / 80
- Corsi share
- 60.6%
- Fenwick share
- 61.5%
- xG for / against
- 8.58 / 4.78
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 18
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 146
- Save %
- 93.2
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 28.8
Jesper Wallstedt
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Mar 19
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 116
- Save %
- 92.2
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 26.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.58
- xG against / game
- 2.61
- xG differential / game
- 0.98
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.13
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.40
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.5
- Faceoff win %
- 50.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 26.4 · Shooting: 14.8% · Avg distance: 29.2 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 63.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.3
- Faceoff win %
- 51.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 30.8 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 20 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 33 | Goals for | 44 |
| 25 | Goals against | 31 |
| 8 | Goal differential | 13 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 4 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 32 | Goals for | 33 |
| 19 | Goals against | 23 |
| 13 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
4 wins
Total goals36 – 21
Goal differential
+15
/
-15
Goals per game3.6 / 2.1
Shots per game28.7 / 29.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 5 | 18 - 32 | View |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 5 | 41 - 25 | View |
| Apr 6, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 25 - 41 | View |
| Mar 24, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 29 | View |
| Dec 27, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 18 - 29 | View |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 1 | 40 - 23 | View |
| Jan 10, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 7 | 23 - 34 | View |
| Jan 8, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
4 - 0 | 20 - 23 | View |
| Nov 12, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
8 - 3 | 37 - 26 | View |
| Feb 17, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 30 - 32 | View |