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Dallas Stars vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 13, 2027

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 13, 2027.

March 13, 2027 · 8:00 PM CST
Away

Dallas Stars

7-3-1

52.4% Model pick
at
Home

Los Angeles Kings

2-5-2

47.6%
Model V2 pick: Dallas Stars at 52.4%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Los Angeles Kings logo
Home team

Los Angeles Kings

47.6%
Fair American +110
Fair decimal 2.1
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 13, 2027.

Dallas Stars

All Model Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
0.09
ROI
3.1%

Value Picks

Bets
0
Record
0-0
Net units
0.00
ROI
—

Market Favourite

Bets
9
Record
6-3
Net units
0.55
ROI
6.1%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

52:30 together · 7 games

xG share74.6%
Corsi for / against
52 / 43
Fenwick for / against
36 / 23
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
61.0%
xG for / against
2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair

96:24 together · 10 games

xG share58.8%
Corsi for / against
99 / 73
Fenwick for / against
66 / 48
Corsi share
57.6%
Fenwick share
57.9%
xG for / against
3.83 / 2.68
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

68:17 together · 7 games

xG share64.8%
Corsi for / against
95 / 56
Fenwick for / against
66 / 40
Corsi share
62.9%
Fenwick share
62.3%
xG for / against
4.19 / 2.27
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Jake Oettinger

Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
103
Save %
90.3
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
34.0

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
85
Save %
89.4
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
24.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.33
xG against / game
2.56
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
2.95
xG differential / game
-0.20

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 13, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.0
Corsi share (%)
53.6
Fenwick share (%)
54.7
Faceoff win %
55.7
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Los Angeles Kings

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
57.4
Corsi share (%)
49.6
Fenwick share (%)
50.1
Faceoff win %
51.0
Penalties / game
4.33

Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
15Points6
0.682Points %0.333
32Goals for21
20Goals against32
12Goal differential-11
W5Current streakL1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
5Games3
3Wins0
7Points0
7Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
7-2-1Record2-5-2
15Points6
32Goals for21
16Goals against32
16Goal differential-11
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 3 wins
Total goals38 – 18
Goal differential +20 / -20
Goals per game3.8 / 1.8
Shots per game28.0 / 28.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 12, 2026
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
3 - 1 18 - 25 View
Dec 15, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 28 - 26 View
Oct 23, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 25 - 31 View
Feb 28, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 6 31 - 31 View
Feb 7, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 5 30 - 37 View
Dec 4, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 28 - 17 View
Mar 16, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 28 - 29 View
Mar 9, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1 35 - 25 View
Jan 16, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 5 32 - 28 View
Jan 19, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 0 24 - 34 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings DAL LAK