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Dallas Stars vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 12, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 12, 2026.

January 12, 2026 · 9:30 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

103:15 together · 10 games

xG share62.3%
Corsi for / against
118 / 88
Fenwick for / against
84 / 72
Corsi share
57.3%
Fenwick share
53.8%
xG for / against
6.52 / 3.94
Defense pair

123:31 together · 10 games

xG share56.5%
Corsi for / against
93 / 91
Fenwick for / against
63 / 61
Corsi share
50.5%
Fenwick share
50.8%
xG for / against
5.39 / 4.16
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

88:05 together · 10 games

xG share65.5%
Corsi for / against
95 / 66
Fenwick for / against
69 / 50
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
58.0%
xG for / against
5.03 / 2.65
Defense pair

141:43 together · 10 games

xG share61.8%
Corsi for / against
143 / 109
Fenwick for / against
106 / 77
Corsi share
56.7%
Fenwick share
57.9%
xG for / against
6.27 / 3.88
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
88.4
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
34.9

Anton Forsberg

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
111
Save %
90.1
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
31.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
3.57
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
0.37

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
3.11
xG against / game
3.00
xG differential / game
0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.3
Corsi share (%)
47.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.3
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 14.2% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.6
Corsi share (%)
53.0
Fenwick share (%)
52.0
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 34.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
15Points8
0.625Points %0.364
33Goals for28
25Goals against37
8Goal differential-9
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
5Games3
3Wins0
7Points0
7Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
7-2-1Record3-5-2
15Points8
32Goals for24
19Goals against29
13Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 4 wins
Total goals37 – 20
Goal differential +17 / -17
Goals per game3.7 / 2.0
Shots per game29.2 / 29.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 15, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 28 - 26 View
Oct 23, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 25 - 31 View
Feb 28, 2025
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 6 31 - 31 View
Feb 7, 2025
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 5 30 - 37 View
Dec 4, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 28 - 17 View
Mar 16, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 4 28 - 29 View
Mar 9, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 1 35 - 25 View
Jan 16, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 5 32 - 28 View
Jan 19, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
4 - 0 24 - 34 View
Jan 3, 2023
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 30 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.