Away team
Dallas Stars
37.4%
Fair American
+167
Fair decimal
2.67
Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 24, 2027
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 24, 2027.
January 24, 2027
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Colorado Avalanche at 62.6%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Colorado Avalanche
62.6%
Fair American
-167
Fair decimal
1.6
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 24, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 0.55
- ROI
- 6.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
52:30 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 52 / 43
- Fenwick for / against
- 36 / 23
- Corsi share
- 54.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.76 / 0.94
Defense pair
96:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 48
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 3.83 / 2.68
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 90.3
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 34.0
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.33
- xG against / game
- 2.56
- xG differential / game
- 0.77
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 53.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.7
- Penalties / game
- 4.0
Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 0.682 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 32 | Goals for | 49 |
| 20 | Goals against | 40 |
| 12 | Goal differential | 9 |
| W5 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 7 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 15 | Points | 9 |
| 32 | Goals for | 35 |
| 16 | Goals against | 35 |
| 16 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
5 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
5 wins
Total goals34 – 34
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game3.4 / 3.4
Shots per game23.8 / 31.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 2 | 22 - 27 | View |
| Oct 13, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Apr 4, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 0 | 22 - 17 | View |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 1 | 18 - 34 | View |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
5 - 4 | 29 - 21 | View |
| Oct 11, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 4 | 22 - 39 | View |
| Mar 16, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 4 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Jan 18, 2025 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 36 | View |
| Nov 29, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 5 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Apr 7, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
7 - 4 | 37 - 38 | View |