Away team
Dallas Stars
47.9%
Fair American
+109
Fair decimal
2.09
Dallas Stars vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 20, 2027
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 20, 2027.
January 20, 2027
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Chicago Blackhawks at 52.1%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Chicago Blackhawks
52.1%
Fair American
-109
Fair decimal
1.92
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 20, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.91
- ROI
- -22.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.45
- ROI
- -13.2%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 1.46
- ROI
- 29.2%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 4-7
- Net units
- -2.13
- ROI
- -19.4%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
46:33 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 37 / 37
- Fenwick for / against
- 28 / 20
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 58.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.19 / 1.46
Defense pair
88:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 98 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 33
- Corsi share
- 61.3%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 4.96 / 2.31
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
64:12 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 42 / 41
- Fenwick for / against
- 34 / 31
- Corsi share
- 50.6%
- Fenwick share
- 52.3%
- xG for / against
- 2.54 / 2.49
Defense pair
114:04 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 67 / 102
- Fenwick for / against
- 56 / 77
- Corsi share
- 39.6%
- Fenwick share
- 42.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.14 / 5.05
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Jake Oettinger
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 97
- Save %
- 88.7
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 37.1
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 149
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 39.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.05
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.32
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.52
- xG against / game
- 3.52
- xG differential / game
- -1.00
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 20, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 52.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.1
- Faceoff win %
- 57.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.4
Shots / game: 26.1 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 48.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 45.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 44.2
- Faceoff win %
- 43.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 22.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 0.577 | Points % | 0.308 |
| 35 | Goals for | 27 |
| 30 | Goals against | 48 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -21 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
CHI home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 8 |
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
CHI
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 4-6-0 |
| 13 | Points | 8 |
| 29 | Goals for | 22 |
| 24 | Goals against | 33 |
| 5 | Goal differential | -11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
CHI
4 wins
Total goals33 – 25
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.3 / 2.5
Shots per game32.5 / 24.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 0 | 32 - 19 | View |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Jan 1, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 21 | View |
| Dec 27, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 31 | View |
| Dec 29, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 1 | 35 - 25 | View |
| Nov 27, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 6 | 27 - 26 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 3 | 26 - 40 | View |
| Oct 26, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 4 | 24 - 30 | View |
| Apr 6, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 3 | 44 - 17 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 1 | 30 - 35 | View |