Forward trio
66:49 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 49
- Fenwick for / against
- 40 / 39
- Corsi share
- 54.6%
- Fenwick share
- 50.6%
- xG for / against
- 2.97 / 3.15
Dallas Stars vs Buffalo Sabres prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 15, 2026
NHL matchup
Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 15, 2026.
April 15, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 15. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
83:05 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 60 / 72
- Fenwick for / against
- 40 / 53
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 43.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.75 / 4.05
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
93:05 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 101 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 83 / 46
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 64.3%
- xG for / against
- 5.21 / 2.53
Defense pair
118:48 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 104 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 60
- Corsi share
- 55.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.8%
- xG for / against
- 5.56 / 4.25
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Casey DeSmith
Dallas Stars · Last start: Apr 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Apr 13
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 111
- Save %
- 90.1
- Goals allowed
- 11
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 2.79
- xG against / game
- 2.67
- xG differential / game
- 0.12
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.29
- xG against / game
- 2.67
- xG differential / game
- 0.61
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 15, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 47.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 47.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.1
- Faceoff win %
- 49.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 22.2 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.6
- Faceoff win %
- 48.2
- Penalties / game
- 4.7
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 32.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
DAL
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Points | 13 |
| 0.625 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 33 | Goals for | 33 |
| 25 | Goals against | 41 |
| 8 | Goal differential | -8 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
DAL road
|
Metric |
BUF home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 6 |
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 7 | Points | 6 |
| 7 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
DAL
|
Metric |
BUF
|
|---|---|---|
| 7-2-1 | Record | 4-3-3 |
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 32 | Goals for | 26 |
| 19 | Goals against | 32 |
| 13 | Goal differential | -6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
DAL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
BUF
4 wins
Total goals34 – 30
Goal differential
+4
/
-4
Goals per game3.4 / 3.0
Shots per game33.3 / 28.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 1 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Dec 31, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 4 | 23 - 33 | View |
| Oct 22, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 4 | 30 - 25 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 21 - 24 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 1 | 30 - 48 | View |
| Mar 9, 2023 |
Dallas Stars
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
10 - 4 | 49 - 29 | View |
| Jan 23, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 31 | View |
| Feb 27, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 4 | 40 - 31 | View |
| Jan 20, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 4 | 47 - 24 | View |
| Jan 16, 2020 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Dallas Stars
|
4 - 1 | 22 - 29 | View |