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Dallas Stars vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 31, 2026

NHL matchup

Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 31, 2026.

March 31, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

125:34 together · 10 games

xG share45.4%
Corsi for / against
101 / 116
Fenwick for / against
71 / 74
Corsi share
46.5%
Fenwick share
49.0%
xG for / against
3.96 / 4.76
All observed combinations

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

127:54 together · 10 games

xG share47.6%
Corsi for / against
108 / 133
Fenwick for / against
88 / 96
Corsi share
44.8%
Fenwick share
47.8%
xG for / against
5.83 / 6.43
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Casey DeSmith

Dallas Stars · Last start: Mar 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
119
Save %
88.2
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
36.1

Jeremy Swayman

Boston Bruins · Last start: Mar 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
161
Save %
92.5
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
35.4
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

xG for / game
2.86
xG against / game
3.21
xG differential / game
-0.36

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Boston Bruins

xG for / game
3.50
xG against / game
3.72
xG differential / game
-0.21

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Dallas Stars

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
52.1
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
48.8
Faceoff win %
48.8
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 24.2 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft

Boston Bruins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.4
Corsi share (%)
49.3
Fenwick share (%)
49.1
Faceoff win %
54.7
Penalties / game
4.2

Shots / game: 30.0 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
15Points19
0.625Points %0.731
33Goals for49
25Goals against28
8Goal differential21
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Dallas Stars DAL road
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS home
5Games6
3Wins5
7Points10
7Goal differential17
Last 10 games
Dallas Stars DAL
Metric
Boston Bruins BOS
7-2-1Record7-2-1
15Points15
32Goals for41
19Goals against21
13Goal differential20
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Dallas Stars DAL 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Boston Bruins BOS 6 wins
Total goals36 – 27
Goal differential +9 / -9
Goals per game3.6 / 2.7
Shots per game34.3 / 28.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 20, 2026
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 6 18 - 37 View
Nov 14, 2024
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
2 - 7 25 - 38 View
Oct 24, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
5 - 2 32 - 27 View
Feb 19, 2024
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 46 - 30 View
Nov 6, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 29 - 37 View
Feb 14, 2023
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
3 - 2 37 - 31 View
Oct 25, 2022
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 3 31 - 29 View
Jan 30, 2022
Boston Bruins Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
1 - 6 26 - 29 View
Oct 16, 2021
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
1 - 3 28 - 40 View
Feb 27, 2020
Dallas Stars Dallas Stars at Boston Bruins Boston Bruins
3 - 4 34 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.