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Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 7, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 7, 2026.

October 7, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Colorado Avalanche

6-5-1

2 Model pick
Final
Home

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

3
Model V2 pick: Colorado Avalanche at 54.7% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Colorado Avalanche logo
Away team

Colorado Avalanche

54.7%
Fair American -121
Fair decimal 1.83
Best market -182 · FanDuel
Market implied 64.5%
Edge -9.8%
Expected value -15.2%
Calculate value
Winnipeg Jets logo
Home team

Winnipeg Jets

45.3%
Fair American +121
Fair decimal 2.21
Best market +163 · BetRivers
Market implied 38.0%
Edge +7.3%
Expected value +19.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 7, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%

Value Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
0.55
ROI
27.5%

Market Favourite

Bets
1
Record
0-1
Net units
-1.00
ROI
-100.0%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

18:36 together · 2 games

xG share64.2%
Corsi for / against
17 / 22
Fenwick for / against
13 / 14
Corsi share
43.6%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
0.96 / 0.54
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

39:38 together · 3 games

xG share52.4%
Corsi for / against
46 / 50
Fenwick for / against
41 / 38
Corsi share
47.9%
Fenwick share
51.9%
xG for / against
2.37 / 2.15
Defense pair

34:44 together · 3 games

xG share32.9%
Corsi for / against
28 / 50
Fenwick for / against
24 / 35
Corsi share
35.9%
Fenwick share
40.7%
xG for / against
0.79 / 1.60
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 3

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
57
Save %
91.2
Goals allowed
5
Close-range shots %
26.3

Clay Stevenson

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 5

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
31
Save %
93.5
Goals allowed
2
Close-range shots %
38.7
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.59
xG against / game
2.30
xG differential / game
1.29

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.21
xG against / game
3.27
xG differential / game
-0.06

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 7, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
58.0
Corsi share (%)
49.8
Fenwick share (%)
50.3
Faceoff win %
46.8
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 32.5 · Shooting: 21.5% · Avg distance: 30.0 ft

Winnipeg Jets

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
60.3
Corsi share (%)
45.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.7
Faceoff win %
44.6
Penalties / game
4.0

Shots / game: 31.7 · Shooting: 9.5% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
13Points11
0.542Points %0.500
49Goals for27
40Goals against31
9Goal differential-4
L1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
6Games6
2Wins2
4Points5
-2Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
4-5-1Record4-4-2
9Points10
35Goals for24
35Goals against27
0Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 7 wins
Total goals18 – 33
Goal differential -15 / +15
Goals per game1.8 / 3.3
Shots per game29.7 / 24.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 28, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 2 21 - 23 View
Mar 26, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 2 35 - 24 View
Mar 14, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 3 29 - 18 View
Dec 19, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 3 22 - 26 View
Jan 22, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 25 - 27 View
Jan 11, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 3 22 - 29 View
Dec 31, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5 22 - 38 View
Nov 7, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 1 35 - 28 View
Apr 13, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
7 - 0 26 - 30 View
Dec 16, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
2 - 6 32 - 25 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings COL WPG