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Colorado Avalanche vs St. Louis Blues prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 8, 2026.

December 8, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick: St. Louis Blues at 54.8%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Colorado Avalanche logo
Away team

Colorado Avalanche

45.2%
Fair American +121
Fair decimal 2.21
Calculate value
St. Louis Blues logo
Home team

St. Louis Blues

54.8%
Fair American -121
Fair decimal 1.82
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 8, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

104:07 together · 9 games

xG share57.4%
Corsi for / against
134 / 93
Fenwick for / against
95 / 73
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
56.5%
xG for / against
6.11 / 4.54
All observed combinations

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

109:44 together · 10 games

xG share47.3%
Corsi for / against
96 / 102
Fenwick for / against
67 / 86
Corsi share
48.5%
Fenwick share
43.8%
xG for / against
5.37 / 5.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Scott Wedgewood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
27.0

Jordan Binnington

St. Louis Blues · Last start: Oct 27

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
103
Save %
84.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
35.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
2.88
xG differential / game
0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

St. Louis Blues

xG for / game
3.12
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.44

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.7
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
46.2
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

St. Louis Blues

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
57.0
Corsi share (%)
51.6
Fenwick share (%)
49.6
Faceoff win %
51.5
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 28.7 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 30.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
13Points11
0.542Points %0.458
49Goals for35
40Goals against37
9Goal differential-2
L1Current streakL2
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL home
6Games6
2Wins3
4Points7
-2Goal differential0
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
St. Louis Blues STL
4-5-1Record4-5-1
9Points9
35Goals for30
35Goals against31
0Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 6 wins
10 games reviewed
St. Louis Blues STL 4 wins
Total goals34 – 20
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game3.4 / 2.0
Shots per game33.5 / 24.1
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 3, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 6 26 - 36 View
Apr 7, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
3 - 1 37 - 19 View
Apr 5, 2026
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 2 28 - 28 View
Dec 31, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 6 13 - 43 View
Apr 5, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 5 39 - 22 View
Mar 29, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 1 27 - 29 View
Feb 23, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
1 - 3 29 - 25 View
Jan 31, 2025
St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 5 19 - 36 View
Mar 19, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
4 - 3 35 - 33 View
Dec 29, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues St. Louis Blues
2 - 1 23 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.