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Colorado Avalanche vs New Jersey Devils prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 20, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 20, 2026.

October 20, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Colorado Avalanche

6-5-1

3
Final
Home

New Jersey Devils

8-4-0

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New Jersey Devils at 59.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Colorado Avalanche logo
Away team

Colorado Avalanche

40.9%
Fair American +144
Fair decimal 2.44
Best market -105 · Bovada
Market implied 51.2%
Edge -10.3%
Expected value -20.1%
Calculate value
New Jersey Devils logo
Home team

New Jersey Devils

59.1%
Fair American -144
Fair decimal 1.69
Best market -108 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 51.9%
Edge +7.2%
Expected value +13.8%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 20, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche

9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

93:10 together · 8 games

xG share60.9%
Corsi for / against
112 / 87
Fenwick for / against
80 / 64
Corsi share
56.3%
Fenwick share
55.6%
xG for / against
5.10 / 3.28
All observed combinations

New Jersey Devils

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

50:12 together · 6 games

xG share66.8%
Corsi for / against
64 / 30
Fenwick for / against
38 / 26
Corsi share
68.1%
Fenwick share
59.4%
xG for / against
3.24 / 1.61
Defense pair

124:40 together · 8 games

xG share60.1%
Corsi for / against
179 / 86
Fenwick for / against
113 / 62
Corsi share
67.5%
Fenwick share
64.6%
xG for / against
6.60 / 4.38
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Colorado Avalanche

Scott Wedgewood 93.8%
Other eligible goalies

Why Scott Wedgewood?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Team played yesterday
+1.538
Goalie team start share
-0.424
Started last game
+0.417
Days since last start
+0.297
Team win pct before
-0.284
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 20, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

New Jersey Devils

Jake Allen 49.8%
Other eligible goalies

Why Jake Allen?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.611
Prev save pct
-0.369
Started last game
-0.350
Goalie win pct before
+0.231
Won previous appearance
-0.206
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 20, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Mackenzie Blackwood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 19

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
123
Save %
87.8
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
42.3

Jake Allen

New Jersey Devils · Last start: Oct 17

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
129
Save %
87.6
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
30.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.45
xG against / game
2.54
xG differential / game
0.90

9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New Jersey Devils

xG for / game
3.75
xG against / game
2.69
xG differential / game
1.06

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

9 / 9 games covered

Attempts / game
62.7
Corsi share (%)
53.3
Fenwick share (%)
53.6
Faceoff win %
49.2
Penalties / game
3.22

Shots / game: 30.2 · Shooting: 14.0% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

New Jersey Devils

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
74.9
Corsi share (%)
61.4
Fenwick share (%)
59.4
Faceoff win %
49.7
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 8.9% · Avg distance: 29.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
13Points16
0.542Points %0.667
49Goals for41
40Goals against33
9Goal differential8
L1Current streakW4
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD home
6Games8
2Wins6
4Points12
-2Goal differential11
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
New Jersey Devils NJD
4-5-1Record7-3-0
9Points14
35Goals for38
35Goals against25
0Goal differential13
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 5 wins
10 games reviewed
New Jersey Devils NJD 5 wins
Total goals40 – 31
Goal differential +9 / -9
Goals per game4.0 / 3.1
Shots per game30.8 / 27.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 28, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
4 - 8 30 - 42 View
Oct 26, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 4 24 - 24 View
Feb 26, 2025
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 5 23 - 37 View
Dec 8, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
4 - 0 24 - 25 View
Feb 6, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 5 38 - 31 View
Nov 7, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 6 23 - 32 View
Mar 1, 2023
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
7 - 5 29 - 31 View
Oct 28, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
0 - 1 24 - 23 View
Apr 14, 2022
New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 3 27 - 30 View
Mar 8, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils New Jersey Devils
3 - 5 26 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings COL NJD