Away team
Colorado Avalanche
46.1%
Fair American
+117
Fair decimal
2.17
Colorado Avalanche vs Montréal Canadiens prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 14, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 14, 2026.
November 14, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Montréal Canadiens at 53.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Montréal Canadiens
53.9%
Fair American
-117
Fair decimal
1.86
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 14, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 3.39
- ROI
- 48.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.83
- ROI
- 27.6%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 6-3
- Net units
- 1.39
- ROI
- 15.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
82:28 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 99 / 45
- Fenwick for / against
- 71 / 35
- Corsi share
- 68.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.26 / 1.88
Defense pair
108:21 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 165 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 127 / 61
- Corsi share
- 66.8%
- Fenwick share
- 67.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.88 / 4.78
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Montréal Canadiens
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Jacob Fowler
Montréal Canadiens · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 93.7
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 27.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Montréal Canadiens
- xG for / game
- 3.47
- xG against / game
- 3.11
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 14, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Montréal Canadiens
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 62.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 54.5
- Faceoff win %
- 52.8
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 29.2 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 33.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 14 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 49 | Goals for | 36 |
| 40 | Goals against | 36 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 0 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
MTL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| -2 | Goal differential | -3 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
MTL
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 9 | Points | 12 |
| 35 | Goals for | 33 |
| 35 | Goals against | 34 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MTL
4 wins
Total goals37 – 29
Goal differential
+8
/
-8
Goals per game3.7 / 2.9
Shots per game33.7 / 25.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 7 | 29 - 28 | View |
| Nov 29, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 7 | 23 - 36 | View |
| Mar 22, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
5 - 4 | 37 - 29 | View |
| Jan 4, 2025 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 1 | 23 - 23 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 1 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Jan 15, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 34 | View |
| Mar 13, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
8 - 4 | 33 - 19 | View |
| Dec 21, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 2 | 20 - 36 | View |
| Jan 22, 2022 |
Montréal Canadiens
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 46 | View |
| Dec 2, 2021 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Montréal Canadiens
|
4 - 1 | 34 - 20 | View |