Away team
Colorado Avalanche
41.1%
Fair American
+143
Fair decimal
2.43
Colorado Avalanche vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 27, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 27, 2026.
November 27, 2026
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Minnesota Wild at 58.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Minnesota Wild
58.9%
Fair American
-143
Fair decimal
1.7
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 27, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 156 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 63
- Corsi share
- 66.4%
- Fenwick share
- 65.6%
- xG for / against
- 9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair
95:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 42
- Corsi share
- 67.0%
- Fenwick share
- 70.0%
- xG for / against
- 7.48 / 3.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Jesper Wallstedt
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 92.5
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.93
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 1.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 20 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 49 | Goals for | 44 |
| 40 | Goals against | 31 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 13 |
| L1 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 4 |
| 2 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 8 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 9 | Points | 15 |
| 35 | Goals for | 33 |
| 35 | Goals against | 23 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
6 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
4 wins
Total goals35 – 23
Goal differential
+12
/
-12
Goals per game3.5 / 2.3
Shots per game34.6 / 29.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 3 | 34 - 36 | View |
| Feb 26, 2026 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 47 | View |
| Dec 21, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 1 | 42 - 29 | View |
| Nov 28, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 41 - 37 | View |
| Mar 11, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 28 - 23 | View |
| Feb 28, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 20 - 30 | View |
| Jan 20, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 1 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Jan 9, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
6 - 1 | 27 - 25 | View |
| Apr 9, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Apr 4, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Minnesota Wild
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 46 | View |