Away team
Colorado Avalanche
59.7%
Fair American
-148
Fair decimal
1.68
Colorado Avalanche vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 7, 2027
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 7, 2027.
March 7, 2027
· 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Colorado Avalanche at 59.7%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Los Angeles Kings
40.3%
Fair American
+148
Fair decimal
2.48
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 7, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 0-2
- Net units
- -2.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 1-4
- Net units
- -2.64
- ROI
- -52.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.11
- ROI
- -5.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
57:43 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 78 / 35
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 27
- Corsi share
- 69.0%
- Fenwick share
- 67.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.56 / 1.37
Defense pair
68:17 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 56
- Fenwick for / against
- 66 / 40
- Corsi share
- 62.9%
- Fenwick share
- 62.3%
- xG for / against
- 4.19 / 2.27
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Los Angeles Kings
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Anton Forsberg
Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Oct 24
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 85
- Save %
- 89.4
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 24.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Los Angeles Kings
- xG for / game
- 2.74
- xG against / game
- 2.95
- xG differential / game
- -0.20
9 / 9 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 7, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Los Angeles Kings
9 / 9 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 49.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 51.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.33
Shots / game: 27.2 · Shooting: 8.6% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 6 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.333 |
| 49 | Goals for | 21 |
| 40 | Goals against | 32 |
| 9 | Goal differential | -11 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
LAK home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 3 |
| 2 | Wins | 0 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| -2 | Goal differential | -7 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
LAK
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 2-5-2 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 35 | Goals for | 21 |
| 35 | Goals against | 32 |
| 0 | Goal differential | -11 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
8 wins
10
games reviewed
LAK
2 wins
Total goals44 – 23
Goal differential
+21
/
-21
Goals per game4.4 / 2.3
Shots per game28.4 / 27.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 8 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Mar 2, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 2 | 39 - 21 | View |
| Dec 29, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 5 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Oct 7, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 1 | 23 - 25 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
4 - 5 | 26 - 33 | View |
| Mar 27, 2025 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 4 | 22 - 26 | View |
| Nov 13, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
2 - 4 | 15 - 26 | View |
| Jan 26, 2024 |
Los Angeles Kings
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 5 | 27 - 31 | View |
| Dec 3, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
1 - 4 | 21 - 38 | View |
| Oct 11, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Los Angeles Kings
|
5 - 2 | 37 - 36 | View |