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Colorado Avalanche vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 31, 2026

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 31, 2026.

January 31, 2026 · 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

123:37 together · 10 games

xG share52.1%
Corsi for / against
162 / 130
Fenwick for / against
113 / 98
Corsi share
55.5%
Fenwick share
53.6%
xG for / against
5.48 / 5.05
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

118:59 together · 10 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
124 / 113
Fenwick for / against
93 / 79
Corsi share
52.3%
Fenwick share
54.1%
xG for / against
5.97 / 5.65
Defense pair

111:21 together · 6 games

xG share46.8%
Corsi for / against
105 / 107
Fenwick for / against
82 / 76
Corsi share
49.5%
Fenwick share
51.9%
xG for / against
4.79 / 5.44
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Scott Wedgewood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Jan 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
88.1
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
31.0

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Jan 29

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
124
Save %
91.9
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
25.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.40
xG against / game
2.71
xG differential / game
0.69

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.31
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
0.11

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
70.3
Corsi share (%)
56.1
Fenwick share (%)
54.9
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 34.6 · Shooting: 10.4% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
62.4
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
51.5
Faceoff win %
51.0
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 28.0 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
15Points13
0.577Points %0.542
54Goals for33
42Goals against37
12Goal differential-4
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
6Games7
2Wins3
4Points7
-2Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
5-4-1Record5-2-3
11Points13
38Goals for31
34Goals against32
4Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 1 wins
Total goals46 – 20
Goal differential +26 / -26
Goals per game4.6 / 2.0
Shots per game33.9 / 29.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 25, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 5 23 - 28 View
Dec 7, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 1 25 - 30 View
Mar 6, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
2 - 7 29 - 54 View
Feb 22, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 2 31 - 30 View
Mar 18, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 1 23 - 34 View
Jan 16, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 6 29 - 27 View
Feb 23, 2022
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 2 31 - 34 View
Dec 10, 2021
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 7 40 - 47 View
Mar 2, 2020
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 1 27 - 18 View
Jan 20, 2020
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
3 - 6 25 - 46 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.