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Colorado Avalanche vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 28, 2027

NHL matchup

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 28, 2027.

February 28, 2027 · 5:30 PM CST
Away

Colorado Avalanche

6-5-1

50.9% Model pick
at
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

3-8-0

49.1%
Model V2 pick: Colorado Avalanche at 50.9%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Colorado Avalanche logo
Away team

Colorado Avalanche

50.9%
Fair American -104
Fair decimal 1.96
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

49.1%
Fair American +104
Fair decimal 2.04
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Feb 28, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

104:07 together · 9 games

xG share57.4%
Corsi for / against
134 / 93
Fenwick for / against
95 / 73
Corsi share
59.0%
Fenwick share
56.5%
xG for / against
6.11 / 4.54
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:17 together · 9 games

xG share55.1%
Corsi for / against
48 / 57
Fenwick for / against
39 / 42
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair

112:28 together · 10 games

xG share40.8%
Corsi for / against
59 / 104
Fenwick for / against
48 / 77
Corsi share
36.2%
Fenwick share
38.4%
xG for / against
3.26 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Scott Wedgewood

Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
126
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
27.0

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
41.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
2.88
xG differential / game
0.18

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.40
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-1.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 28, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Colorado Avalanche

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.7
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
51.4
Faceoff win %
46.4
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.2
Corsi share (%)
43.2
Fenwick share (%)
42.0
Faceoff win %
42.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
13Points6
0.542Points %0.273
49Goals for24
40Goals against43
9Goal differential-19
L1Current streakL3
Road versus home
Colorado Avalanche COL road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
6Games7
2Wins3
4Points6
-2Goal differential-6
Last 10 games
Colorado Avalanche COL
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
4-5-1Record3-7-0
9Points6
35Goals for22
35Goals against38
0Goal differential-16
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Colorado Avalanche COL 7 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
Total goals29 – 15
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game2.9 / 1.5
Shots per game33.1 / 22.9
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 20, 2026
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1 49 - 20 View
Feb 28, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
1 - 3 15 - 35 View
Nov 23, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 0 26 - 22 View
Apr 2, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 31 - 23 View
Mar 10, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 3 20 - 21 View
Jan 8, 2025
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 36 - 20 View
Oct 28, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
5 - 2 26 - 26 View
Mar 4, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
0 - 5 37 - 37 View
Feb 29, 2024
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 0 33 - 24 View
Dec 19, 2023
Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 37 - 22 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings COL CHI