Away team
Colorado Avalanche
38.1%
Fair American
+162
Fair decimal
2.62
Colorado Avalanche vs Boston Bruins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 1, 2026
NHL matchup
Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 1, 2026.
December 1, 2026
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Boston Bruins at 61.9%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Boston Bruins
61.9%
Fair American
-162
Fair decimal
1.62
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 1, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 6-2
- Net units
- 3.03
- ROI
- 37.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 4-3
- Net units
- 0.79
- ROI
- 11.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 6-0
- Net units
- 4.68
- ROI
- 78.1%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
69:27 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 65 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 47 / 45
- Corsi share
- 45.5%
- Fenwick share
- 51.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.99 / 3.07
Defense pair
113:24 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 122
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 81
- Corsi share
- 44.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.4%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 5.77
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Boston Bruins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Jeremy Swayman
Boston Bruins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 131
- Save %
- 90.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Boston Bruins
- xG for / game
- 3.30
- xG against / game
- 3.04
- xG differential / game
- 0.26
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 1, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.2
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Boston Bruins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 51.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.3
- Faceoff win %
- 54.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 26.2 · Shooting: 15.6% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
COL
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 19 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.792 |
| 49 | Goals for | 48 |
| 40 | Goals against | 26 |
| 9 | Goal differential | 22 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
COL road
|
Metric |
BOS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 6 |
| 2 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Points | 10 |
| -2 | Goal differential | 17 |
Last 10 games
|
COL
|
Metric |
BOS
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-5-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 9 | Points | 15 |
| 35 | Goals for | 41 |
| 35 | Goals against | 23 |
| 0 | Goal differential | 18 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
COL
3 wins
10
games reviewed
BOS
7 wins
Total goals22 – 37
Goal differential
-15
/
+15
Goals per game2.2 / 3.7
Shots per game31.0 / 28.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 19 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 4 | 14 - 38 | View |
| Jan 25, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 3 | 28 - 15 | View |
| Oct 16, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 3 | 26 - 25 | View |
| Jan 18, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
2 - 5 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Jan 8, 2024 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 4 | 26 - 36 | View |
| Dec 7, 2022 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
4 - 0 | 37 - 23 | View |
| Dec 3, 2022 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 5 | 25 - 40 | View |
| Feb 21, 2022 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Boston Bruins
|
1 - 5 | 29 - 45 | View |
| Jan 26, 2022 |
Boston Bruins
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
3 - 4 | 32 - 41 | View |