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Chicago Blackhawks vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 3, 2026.

March 3, 2026 · 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

139:12 together · 10 games

xG share41.9%
Corsi for / against
100 / 135
Fenwick for / against
69 / 105
Corsi share
42.6%
Fenwick share
39.7%
xG for / against
4.70 / 6.51
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

73:16 together · 10 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
70 / 57
Fenwick for / against
59 / 40
Corsi share
55.1%
Fenwick share
59.6%
xG for / against
4.22 / 3.74
Defense pair

132:05 together · 10 games

xG share54.0%
Corsi for / against
118 / 94
Fenwick for / against
87 / 73
Corsi share
55.7%
Fenwick share
54.4%
xG for / against
4.68 / 3.98
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arvid Soderblom

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Mar 1

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
136
Save %
89.7
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
39.7

Connor Hellebuyck

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Mar 1

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
163
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
39.3
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.53
xG against / game
3.01
xG differential / game
-0.48

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
3.06
xG against / game
3.26
xG differential / game
-0.20

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.9
Corsi share (%)
44.4
Fenwick share (%)
43.6
Faceoff win %
45.0
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 31.6 ft

Winnipeg Jets

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.9
Corsi share (%)
48.5
Fenwick share (%)
47.8
Faceoff win %
49.8
Penalties / game
2.7

Shots / game: 26.9 · Shooting: 7.8% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
6Points11
0.273Points %0.500
24Goals for27
43Goals against31
-19Goal differential-4
L3Current streakL1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
4Games6
0Wins2
0Points5
-13Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
3-7-0Record4-4-2
6Points10
22Goals for24
38Goals against27
-16Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 2 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 8 wins
Total goals19 – 30
Goal differential -11 / +11
Goals per game1.9 / 3.0
Shots per game25.4 / 32.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 19, 2026
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
0 - 2 32 - 24 View
Oct 30, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 6 24 - 32 View
Apr 12, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 4 42 - 32 View
Dec 7, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 29 - 14 View
Oct 11, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 26 - 35 View
Feb 23, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 31 - 35 View
Jan 11, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 21 - 28 View
Dec 27, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 2 38 - 25 View
Dec 2, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 3 21 - 28 View
Feb 11, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 4 32 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.