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Chicago Blackhawks vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 3, 2027

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 3, 2027.

March 3, 2027 · 9:00 PM CST
Away

Chicago Blackhawks

3-8-0

40.0%
at
Home

Vancouver Canucks

2-10-1

60.0% Model pick
Model V2 pick: Vancouver Canucks at 60.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

40.0%
Fair American +150
Fair decimal 2.5
Calculate value
Vancouver Canucks logo
Home team

Vancouver Canucks

60.0%
Fair American -150
Fair decimal 1.67
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 3, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:17 together · 9 games

xG share55.1%
Corsi for / against
48 / 57
Fenwick for / against
39 / 42
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair

112:28 together · 10 games

xG share40.8%
Corsi for / against
59 / 104
Fenwick for / against
48 / 77
Corsi share
36.2%
Fenwick share
38.4%
xG for / against
3.26 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

89:40 together · 10 games

xG share33.0%
Corsi for / against
62 / 102
Fenwick for / against
41 / 78
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
34.5%
xG for / against
2.98 / 6.05
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
41.8

Leevi Meriläinen

Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
188
Save %
90.4
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
37.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.40
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-1.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Vancouver Canucks

xG for / game
2.09
xG against / game
4.36
xG differential / game
-2.26

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 3, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.2
Corsi share (%)
43.2
Fenwick share (%)
42.0
Faceoff win %
42.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Vancouver Canucks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
43.8
Corsi share (%)
40.6
Fenwick share (%)
39.1
Faceoff win %
47.3
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 18.7 · Shooting: 10.7% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
6Points5
0.273Points %0.192
24Goals for37
43Goals against60
-19Goal differential-23
L3Current streakL4
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN home
4Games6
0Wins1
0Points2
-13Goal differential-8
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Vancouver Canucks VAN
3-7-0Record0-9-1
6Points1
22Goals for20
38Goals against45
-16Goal differential-25
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 1 wins
10 games reviewed
Vancouver Canucks VAN 9 wins
Total goals21 – 40
Goal differential -19 / +19
Goals per game2.1 / 4.0
Shots per game28.2 / 30.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 6, 2026
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 3 22 - 23 View
Nov 5, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
5 - 2 28 - 45 View
Oct 17, 2025
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 32 - 33 View
Mar 15, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
2 - 6 19 - 15 View
Nov 16, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
1 - 4 29 - 33 View
Oct 22, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 3 30 - 34 View
Feb 13, 2024
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 38 - 24 View
Jan 22, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 2 31 - 29 View
Dec 17, 2023
Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 27 - 28 View
Apr 6, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Vancouver Canucks Vancouver Canucks
0 - 3 33 - 29 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CHI VAN