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Chicago Blackhawks vs Seattle Kraken prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 25, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 25, 2026.

November 25, 2026 · 8:40 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Seattle Kraken at 62.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

37.4%
Fair American +167
Fair decimal 2.67
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 25, 2026.

All Model Picks

Bets
5
Record
4-1
Net units
2.88
ROI
57.7%

Value Picks

Bets
11
Record
6-5
Net units
2.77
ROI
25.1%

Market Favourite

Bets
2
Record
2-0
Net units
1.59
ROI
79.6%

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

66:26 together · 9 games

xG share54.8%
Corsi for / against
40 / 56
Fenwick for / against
32 / 40
Corsi share
41.7%
Fenwick share
44.4%
xG for / against
2.67 / 2.20
Defense pair

121:03 together · 10 games

xG share41.1%
Corsi for / against
69 / 113
Fenwick for / against
56 / 85
Corsi share
37.9%
Fenwick share
39.7%
xG for / against
3.65 / 5.24
All observed combinations

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

148:03 together · 10 games

xG share39.0%
Corsi for / against
107 / 198
Fenwick for / against
73 / 145
Corsi share
35.1%
Fenwick share
33.5%
xG for / against
4.95 / 7.75
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
42.5

Philipp Grubauer

Seattle Kraken · Last start: Oct 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
23.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.60
xG against / game
3.39
xG differential / game
-0.79

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Seattle Kraken

xG for / game
2.74
xG against / game
3.60
xG differential / game
-0.86

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 25, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
47.9
Corsi share (%)
44.9
Fenwick share (%)
44.0
Faceoff win %
44.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 22.1 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft

Seattle Kraken

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
50.4
Corsi share (%)
43.0
Fenwick share (%)
43.3
Faceoff win %
52.0
Penalties / game
3.7

Shots / game: 25.2 · Shooting: 13.9% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
8Points17
0.333Points %0.654
26Goals for50
44Goals against46
-18Goal differential4
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA home
4Games6
0Wins4
0Points8
-13Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Seattle Kraken SEA
4-6-0Record6-3-1
8Points13
24Goals for37
33Goals against41
-9Goal differential-4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Seattle Kraken SEA 7 wins
Total goals23 – 41
Goal differential -18 / +18
Goals per game2.3 / 4.1
Shots per game26.5 / 28.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 4, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
4 - 2 31 - 27 View
Nov 20, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 27 - 24 View
Nov 3, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 3 30 - 24 View
Mar 18, 2025
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 2 30 - 29 View
Dec 19, 2024
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 27 - 24 View
Nov 14, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 3 19 - 26 View
Jan 24, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
2 - 6 34 - 28 View
Dec 14, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
1 - 7 22 - 29 View
Nov 28, 2023
Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 36 - 23 View
Apr 8, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Seattle Kraken Seattle Kraken
3 - 7 29 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.