Away team
Chicago Blackhawks
34.5%
Fair American
+190
Fair decimal
2.9
Chicago Blackhawks vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 8, 2026
NHL matchup
Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 8, 2026.
December 8, 2026
· 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Pittsburgh Penguins at 65.5%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
65.5%
Fair American
-190
Fair decimal
1.53
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 8, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.42
- ROI
- 10.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 3-7
- Net units
- -3.17
- ROI
- -31.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
71:17 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 42
- Corsi share
- 45.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair
112:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 77
- Corsi share
- 36.2%
- Fenwick share
- 38.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.26 / 4.74
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 154
- Save %
- 89.6
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 42.2
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.38
- xG against / game
- 3.48
- xG differential / game
- -1.10
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 45.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 41.9
- Faceoff win %
- 42.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CHI
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 11 |
| 0.273 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 24 | Goals for | 40 |
| 43 | Goals against | 40 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 0 |
| L3 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CHI road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 5 |
| 0 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Points | 8 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
CHI
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7-0 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 22 | Goals for | 27 |
| 38 | Goals against | 35 |
| -16 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CHI
5 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
5 wins
Total goals29 – 37
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.9 / 3.7
Shots per game27.6 / 32.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 5 | 27 - 20 | View |
| Jan 29, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 6 | 20 - 44 | View |
| Dec 28, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
7 - 3 | 24 - 24 | View |
| Apr 8, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 5 | 26 - 27 | View |
| Apr 6, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
1 - 3 | 29 - 31 | View |
| Feb 15, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 1 | 27 - 28 | View |
| Oct 10, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 2 | 36 - 41 | View |
| Apr 11, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 2 | 27 - 40 | View |
| Nov 20, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 3 | 25 - 32 | View |
| Nov 9, 2021 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 3 | 44 - 32 | View |