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Chicago Blackhawks vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 29, 2026.

January 29, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

126:19 together · 10 games

xG share40.1%
Corsi for / against
90 / 124
Fenwick for / against
67 / 97
Corsi share
42.1%
Fenwick share
40.9%
xG for / against
4.31 / 6.45
All observed combinations

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

99:47 together · 8 games

xG share47.5%
Corsi for / against
98 / 107
Fenwick for / against
67 / 73
Corsi share
47.8%
Fenwick share
47.9%
xG for / against
4.46 / 4.94
Defense pair

124:58 together · 8 games

xG share53.1%
Corsi for / against
130 / 121
Fenwick for / against
97 / 86
Corsi share
51.8%
Fenwick share
53.0%
xG for / against
6.81 / 6.02
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Jan 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
132
Save %
90.9
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
36.4

Stuart Skinner

Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Jan 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
127
Save %
92.1
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
36.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.63
xG against / game
3.19
xG differential / game
-0.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Pittsburgh Penguins

xG for / game
3.52
xG against / game
2.90
xG differential / game
0.62

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
48.7
Corsi share (%)
45.9
Fenwick share (%)
45.5
Faceoff win %
49.5
Penalties / game
3.1

Shots / game: 24.1 · Shooting: 7.5% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Pittsburgh Penguins

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
60.0
Corsi share (%)
50.6
Fenwick share (%)
51.0
Faceoff win %
51.2
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 27.9 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 30.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
6Points11
0.273Points %0.458
24Goals for40
43Goals against40
-19Goal differential0
L3Current streakW2
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT home
4Games5
0Wins4
0Points8
-13Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT
3-7-0Record3-6-1
6Points7
22Goals for27
38Goals against35
-16Goal differential-8
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT 6 wins
Total goals26 – 36
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game2.6 / 3.6
Shots per game28.7 / 31.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 28, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
7 - 3 24 - 24 View
Apr 8, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
0 - 5 26 - 27 View
Apr 6, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 29 - 31 View
Feb 15, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1 27 - 28 View
Oct 10, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
4 - 2 36 - 41 View
Apr 11, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
5 - 2 27 - 40 View
Nov 20, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 3 25 - 32 View
Nov 9, 2021
Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
2 - 3 44 - 32 View
Oct 16, 2021
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 5 20 - 26 View
Nov 9, 2019
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
2 - 3 31 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.