Skip to content

Chicago Blackhawks vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 26, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 26, 2026.

March 26, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

99:12 together · 9 games

xG share50.6%
Corsi for / against
90 / 96
Fenwick for / against
66 / 71
Corsi share
48.4%
Fenwick share
48.2%
xG for / against
4.44 / 4.34
Defense pair

112:05 together · 9 games

xG share42.6%
Corsi for / against
83 / 104
Fenwick for / against
62 / 70
Corsi share
44.4%
Fenwick share
47.0%
xG for / against
3.47 / 4.68
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

70:57 together · 8 games

xG share39.9%
Corsi for / against
46 / 71
Fenwick for / against
31 / 52
Corsi share
39.3%
Fenwick share
37.3%
xG for / against
2.13 / 3.20
Defense pair

147:04 together · 10 games

xG share44.8%
Corsi for / against
111 / 152
Fenwick for / against
72 / 105
Corsi share
42.2%
Fenwick share
40.7%
xG for / against
4.89 / 6.01
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Arvid Soderblom

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Mar 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
169
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
37.3

Dan Vladar

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Mar 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
131
Save %
93.1
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
22.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.89
xG against / game
3.67
xG differential / game
-0.78

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
3.00
xG against / game
2.68
xG differential / game
0.32

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 26, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
49.5
Corsi share (%)
43.9
Fenwick share (%)
43.6
Faceoff win %
43.7
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 23.7 · Shooting: 10.1% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.4
Corsi share (%)
46.3
Fenwick share (%)
47.4
Faceoff win %
48.4
Penalties / game
4.6

Shots / game: 23.6 · Shooting: 10.2% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
6Points9
0.273Points %0.346
24Goals for24
43Goals against42
-19Goal differential-18
L3Current streakL1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
4Games7
0Wins2
0Points6
-13Goal differential-10
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
3-7-0Record3-6-1
6Points7
22Goals for20
38Goals against29
-16Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 6 wins
Total goals31 – 29
Goal differential +2 / -2
Goals per game3.1 / 2.9
Shots per game27.0 / 31.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 23, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 26 - 21 View
Mar 23, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 7 29 - 29 View
Nov 23, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 21 - 37 View
Mar 30, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 1 24 - 31 View
Feb 21, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 33 - 22 View
Apr 13, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
5 - 4 36 - 38 View
Jan 19, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 29 - 38 View
Apr 25, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
1 - 3 34 - 33 View
Mar 5, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
3 - 4 29 - 27 View
Oct 24, 2019
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1 23 - 24 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.