Away team
Chicago Blackhawks
31.8%
Fair American
+214
Fair decimal
3.14
Chicago Blackhawks vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for December 18, 2026
NHL matchup
Chicago Blackhawks at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for December 18, 2026.
December 18, 2026
· 12:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Ottawa Senators at 68.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Ottawa Senators
68.2%
Fair American
-214
Fair decimal
1.47
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Dec 18, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.42
- ROI
- 10.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 3-7
- Net units
- -3.17
- ROI
- -31.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 1.9%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.17
- ROI
- -8.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 0.63
- ROI
- 7.8%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 18. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
71:17 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 42
- Corsi share
- 45.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair
112:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 77
- Corsi share
- 36.2%
- Fenwick share
- 38.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.26 / 4.74
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
39:23 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 35 / 53
- Fenwick for / against
- 25 / 39
- Corsi share
- 39.8%
- Fenwick share
- 39.1%
- xG for / against
- 1.87 / 2.05
Defense pair
70:48 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 68
- Fenwick for / against
- 58 / 39
- Corsi share
- 55.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.8%
- xG for / against
- 4.13 / 2.14
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Ottawa Senators
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 41.8
Jonas Johansson
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Oct 24
1 / 1 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 28
- Save %
- 85.7
- Goals allowed
- 4
- Close-range shots %
- 39.3
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.40
- xG against / game
- 3.48
- xG differential / game
- -1.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 2.85
- xG against / game
- 2.77
- xG differential / game
- 0.07
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Dec 18, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 45.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 42.0
- Faceoff win %
- 42.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.9
- Faceoff win %
- 52.3
- Penalties / game
- 4.9
Shots / game: 25.2 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CHI
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 16 |
| 0.273 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 24 | Goals for | 38 |
| 43 | Goals against | 34 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 4 |
| L3 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CHI road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 7 |
| 0 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Points | 10 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
CHI
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7-0 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 6 | Points | 12 |
| 22 | Goals for | 31 |
| 38 | Goals against | 31 |
| -16 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CHI
7 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
3 wins
Total goals41 – 27
Goal differential
+14
/
-14
Goals per game4.1 / 2.7
Shots per game23.9 / 32.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 6 | 24 - 40 | View |
| Oct 28, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 7 | 24 - 26 | View |
| Apr 15, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 3 | 16 - 37 | View |
| Mar 5, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 3 | 26 - 20 | View |
| Mar 28, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
0 - 2 | 19 - 34 | View |
| Feb 17, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 3 | 42 - 22 | View |
| Mar 6, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
0 - 5 | 35 - 21 | View |
| Feb 17, 2023 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Mar 12, 2022 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 3 | 28 - 23 | View |
| Nov 1, 2021 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
1 - 5 | 30 - 31 | View |