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Chicago Blackhawks vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 8, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 8, 2026.

October 8, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Away

Chicago Blackhawks

4-8-0

1
Final
Home

New York Islanders

6-4-2

4 Model pick
Model V2 pick: New York Islanders at 63.7% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

36.3%
Fair American +175
Fair decimal 2.75
Best market +163 · BetRivers
Market implied 38.0%
Edge -1.7%
Expected value -4.5%
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

63.7%
Fair American -175
Fair decimal 1.57
Best market -180 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 64.3%
Edge -0.6%
Expected value -0.9%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 8, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

4 / 4 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

42:06 together · 4 games

xG share44.7%
Corsi for / against
31 / 43
Fenwick for / against
26 / 31
Corsi share
41.9%
Fenwick share
45.6%
xG for / against
1.48 / 1.84
Defense pair

42:53 together · 4 games

xG share30.4%
Corsi for / against
31 / 51
Fenwick for / against
24 / 39
Corsi share
37.8%
Fenwick share
38.1%
xG for / against
1.19 / 2.73
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

3 / 3 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

21:16 together · 3 games

xG share27.4%
Corsi for / against
7 / 31
Fenwick for / against
5 / 22
Corsi share
18.4%
Fenwick share
18.5%
xG for / against
0.53 / 1.41
Defense pair

33:34 together · 3 games

xG share63.1%
Corsi for / against
33 / 25
Fenwick for / against
23 / 22
Corsi share
56.9%
Fenwick share
51.1%
xG for / against
2.04 / 1.19
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 6

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
91
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
10
Close-range shots %
36.3

Semyon Varlamov

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 6

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
22
Save %
86.4
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
45.5
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
1.97
xG against / game
3.75
xG differential / game
-1.78

4 / 4 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
3.03
xG against / game
3.37
xG differential / game
-0.34

3 / 3 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 8, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

4 / 4 games covered

Attempts / game
42.2
Corsi share (%)
40.2
Fenwick share (%)
39.8
Faceoff win %
42.1
Penalties / game
3.25

Shots / game: 19.2 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 36.1 ft

New York Islanders

3 / 3 games covered

Attempts / game
55.0
Corsi share (%)
48.4
Fenwick share (%)
47.0
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
5.0

Shots / game: 26.0 · Shooting: 11.5% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
8Points14
0.333Points %0.583
26Goals for36
44Goals against32
-18Goal differential4
W1Current streakW1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
4Games6
0Wins4
0Points9
-13Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
4-6-0Record5-3-2
8Points12
24Goals for29
33Goals against30
-9Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 4 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 6 wins
Total goals25 – 31
Goal differential -6 / +6
Goals per game2.5 / 3.1
Shots per game24.8 / 30.7
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Mar 24, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 3 24 - 47 View
Dec 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 21 - 19 View
Dec 15, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 5 33 - 23 View
Dec 12, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 5 30 - 21 View
Apr 2, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
1 - 2 19 - 29 View
Jan 19, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 30 - 24 View
Dec 4, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
0 - 3 21 - 40 View
Nov 1, 2022
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 1 33 - 22 View
Dec 5, 2021
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 2 26 - 24 View
Oct 19, 2021
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1 29 - 40 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CHI NYI