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Chicago Blackhawks vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 29, 2026

NHL matchup

Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 29, 2026.

October 29, 2026 · 6:30 PM CST
Model V2 pick: Detroit Red Wings at 68.6%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Chicago Blackhawks logo
Away team

Chicago Blackhawks

31.4%
Fair American +218
Fair decimal 3.18
Calculate value
Detroit Red Wings logo
Home team

Detroit Red Wings

68.6%
Fair American -218
Fair decimal 1.46
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 29, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

71:17 together · 9 games

xG share55.1%
Corsi for / against
48 / 57
Fenwick for / against
39 / 42
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
48.1%
xG for / against
2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair

112:28 together · 10 games

xG share40.8%
Corsi for / against
59 / 104
Fenwick for / against
48 / 77
Corsi share
36.2%
Fenwick share
38.4%
xG for / against
3.26 / 4.74
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

100:07 together · 10 games

xG share53.5%
Corsi for / against
105 / 87
Fenwick for / against
73 / 51
Corsi share
54.7%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
3.75 / 3.26
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Spencer Knight

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
153
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
41.8

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
116
Save %
84.5
Goals allowed
18
Close-range shots %
30.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.40
xG against / game
3.48
xG differential / game
-1.08

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
3.46
xG against / game
3.15
xG differential / game
0.31

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 29, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Chicago Blackhawks

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
45.2
Corsi share (%)
43.2
Fenwick share (%)
42.0
Faceoff win %
42.7
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.7
Corsi share (%)
53.3
Fenwick share (%)
54.0
Faceoff win %
49.4
Penalties / game
4.4

Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 9.2% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
6Points11
0.273Points %0.500
24Goals for29
43Goals against34
-19Goal differential-5
L3Current streakL1
Road versus home
Chicago Blackhawks CHI road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
4Games7
0Wins3
0Points7
-13Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
3-7-0Record4-3-3
6Points11
22Goals for29
38Goals against32
-16Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Chicago Blackhawks CHI 3 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 7 wins
Total goals30 – 40
Goal differential -10 / +10
Goals per game3.0 / 4.0
Shots per game28.3 / 32.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 13, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 0 24 - 26 View
Nov 9, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
5 - 1 20 - 46 View
Jan 10, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5 15 - 28 View
Nov 6, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 1 25 - 29 View
Feb 25, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 2 31 - 36 View
Nov 30, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 5 35 - 29 View
Mar 8, 2023
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 4 20 - 41 View
Oct 21, 2022
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 4 28 - 29 View
Jan 26, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
8 - 5 38 - 33 View
Oct 24, 2021
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
6 - 3 37 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.