Away team
Chicago Blackhawks
34.0%
Fair American
+194
Fair decimal
2.94
Chicago Blackhawks vs Colorado Avalanche prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2027
NHL matchup
Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2027.
March 21, 2027
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Colorado Avalanche at 66.0%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Colorado Avalanche
66.0%
Fair American
-194
Fair decimal
1.52
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 21, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- 0.42
- ROI
- 10.5%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 3-7
- Net units
- -3.17
- ROI
- -31.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.68
- ROI
- 22.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 11
- Record
- 6-5
- Net units
- -1.47
- ROI
- -13.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
71:17 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 48 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 42
- Corsi share
- 45.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.1%
- xG for / against
- 2.97 / 2.42
Defense pair
112:28 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 59 / 104
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 77
- Corsi share
- 36.2%
- Fenwick share
- 38.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.26 / 4.74
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
73:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 81
- Fenwick for / against
- 68 / 60
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 53.1%
- xG for / against
- 4.78 / 4.36
Defense pair
104:07 together · 9 games
- Corsi for / against
- 134 / 93
- Fenwick for / against
- 95 / 73
- Corsi share
- 59.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.5%
- xG for / against
- 6.11 / 4.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Chicago Blackhawks
Expected starter unavailable.
Colorado Avalanche
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Spencer Knight
Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 153
- Save %
- 89.5
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 41.8
Scott Wedgewood
Colorado Avalanche · Last start: Oct 25
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 126
- Save %
- 88.9
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 27.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
- xG for / game
- 2.40
- xG against / game
- 3.48
- xG differential / game
- -1.08
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Colorado Avalanche
- xG for / game
- 3.06
- xG against / game
- 2.88
- xG differential / game
- 0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Chicago Blackhawks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 45.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 43.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 42.0
- Faceoff win %
- 42.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 20.9 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.2 ft
Colorado Avalanche
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.5
- Fenwick share (%)
- 51.4
- Faceoff win %
- 46.4
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 28.6 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 32.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CHI
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Points | 13 |
| 0.273 | Points % | 0.542 |
| 24 | Goals for | 49 |
| 43 | Goals against | 40 |
| -19 | Goal differential | 9 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CHI road
|
Metric |
COL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games | 6 |
| 0 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Points | 9 |
| -13 | Goal differential | 11 |
Last 10 games
|
CHI
|
Metric |
COL
|
|---|---|---|
| 3-7-0 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 6 | Points | 9 |
| 22 | Goals for | 35 |
| 38 | Goals against | 35 |
| -16 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CHI
3 wins
10
games reviewed
COL
7 wins
Total goals15 – 29
Goal differential
-14
/
+14
Goals per game1.5 / 2.9
Shots per game22.9 / 33.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
4 - 1 | 49 - 20 | View |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
1 - 3 | 15 - 35 | View |
| Nov 23, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
1 - 0 | 26 - 22 | View |
| Apr 2, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
3 - 2 | 31 - 23 | View |
| Mar 10, 2025 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 3 | 20 - 21 | View |
| Jan 8, 2025 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
1 - 3 | 36 - 20 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
5 - 2 | 26 - 26 | View |
| Mar 4, 2024 |
Chicago Blackhawks
at
Colorado Avalanche
|
0 - 5 | 37 - 37 | View |
| Feb 29, 2024 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
5 - 0 | 33 - 24 | View |
| Dec 19, 2023 |
Colorado Avalanche
at
Chicago Blackhawks
|
2 - 3 | 37 - 22 | View |