Skip to content

Carolina Hurricanes vs Winnipeg Jets prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 17, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 17, 2026.

October 17, 2026 · 2:30 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

9-2-2

3 Model pick
Final
Home

Winnipeg Jets

4-4-3

2
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 55.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

55.1%
Fair American -123
Fair decimal 1.81
Best market -195 · BetRivers
Market implied 66.1%
Edge -11.0%
Expected value -16.6%
Calculate value
Winnipeg Jets logo
Home team

Winnipeg Jets

44.9%
Fair American +123
Fair decimal 2.23
Best market +178 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 36.0%
Edge +8.9%
Expected value +24.8%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 17, 2026.

Winnipeg Jets

All Model Picks

Bets
2
Record
1-1
Net units
-0.07
ROI
-3.7%

Value Picks

Bets
3
Record
2-1
Net units
2.18
ROI
72.7%

Market Favourite

Bets
4
Record
1-3
Net units
-2.07
ROI
-51.9%
Full team betting results

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

8 / 8 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

65:14 together · 8 games

xG share61.6%
Corsi for / against
75 / 49
Fenwick for / against
53 / 39
Corsi share
60.5%
Fenwick share
57.6%
xG for / against
4.32 / 2.69
Defense pair

117:53 together · 8 games

xG share50.0%
Corsi for / against
117 / 94
Fenwick for / against
79 / 73
Corsi share
55.5%
Fenwick share
52.0%
xG for / against
5.27 / 5.26
All observed combinations

Winnipeg Jets

7 / 7 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

93:19 together · 7 games

xG share52.9%
Corsi for / against
111 / 96
Fenwick for / against
89 / 73
Corsi share
53.6%
Fenwick share
54.9%
xG for / against
5.72 / 5.09
Defense pair

71:58 together · 7 games

xG share46.0%
Corsi for / against
63 / 75
Fenwick for / against
49 / 52
Corsi share
45.7%
Fenwick share
48.5%
xG for / against
2.46 / 2.89
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Carolina Hurricanes

Brandon Bussi 54.3%
Other eligible goalies

Why Brandon Bussi?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Started last game
+0.480
Goalie team start share
+0.361
Won previous appearance
+0.214
Appearances last 5 goalie rows
-0.214
Team played yesterday
-0.187
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Winnipeg Jets

Stuart Skinner 71.7%
Other eligible goalies

Why Stuart Skinner?

Top five influences

Raises the scoreLowers the score
Goalie team start share
+0.729
Started last game
-0.341
Prev save pct
-0.203
Team win pct before
-0.188
Won previous appearance
-0.161
About these predictions

Values are SHAP contributions in log-odds. Bar lengths show relative strength within this goalie’s top five factors.

SHAP shows the strongest influences on this goalie's raw starter score compared with the model's baseline. These are not percentage-point changes to the displayed share or proof of causation. Eligibility exclusions and other goalies also affect the displayed share.

Updated Oct 17, 5:02 AM Winnipeg time

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 13

4 / 4 appearances covered

Shots faced
79
Save %
91.1
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
30.4

Stuart Skinner

Winnipeg Jets · Last start: Oct 15

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
149
Save %
90.6
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
32.9
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.92
xG against / game
2.46
xG differential / game
1.47

8 / 8 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Winnipeg Jets

xG for / game
2.86
xG against / game
3.12
xG differential / game
-0.26

7 / 7 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 17, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

8 / 8 games covered

Attempts / game
65.9
Corsi share (%)
60.0
Fenwick share (%)
60.2
Faceoff win %
50.4
Penalties / game
4.75

Shots / game: 32.2 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft

Winnipeg Jets

7 / 7 games covered

Attempts / game
58.3
Corsi share (%)
48.7
Fenwick share (%)
48.2
Faceoff win %
46.1
Penalties / game
3.14

Shots / game: 27.1 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
20Points11
0.769Points %0.500
51Goals for27
33Goals against31
18Goal differential-4
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG home
9Games6
7Wins2
15Points5
15Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Winnipeg Jets WPG
8-1-1Record4-4-2
17Points10
46Goals for24
25Goals against27
21Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Winnipeg Jets WPG 4 wins
Total goals33 – 27
Goal differential +6 / -6
Goals per game3.3 / 2.7
Shots per game32.9 / 23.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Nov 28, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 5 13 - 35 View
Nov 21, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 3 28 - 27 View
Mar 9, 2025
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 4 22 - 27 View
Feb 4, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
0 - 3 29 - 30 View
Mar 2, 2024
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 3 32 - 35 View
Dec 4, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
1 - 2 43 - 22 View
Mar 14, 2023
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 5 24 - 25 View
Nov 21, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
3 - 4 27 - 23 View
Apr 21, 2022
Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 4 22 - 46 View
Dec 7, 2021
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
4 - 2 34 - 18 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR WPG