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Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 14, 2027

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 14, 2027.

January 14, 2027 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

10-2-2

57.0% Model pick
at
Home

Washington Capitals

7-4-0

43.0%
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 57.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

57.0%
Fair American -133
Fair decimal 1.75
Calculate value
Washington Capitals logo
Home team

Washington Capitals

43.0%
Fair American +133
Fair decimal 2.33
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Jan 14, 2027.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

164:37 together · 10 games

xG share57.3%
Corsi for / against
176 / 119
Fenwick for / against
130 / 81
Corsi share
59.7%
Fenwick share
61.6%
xG for / against
8.35 / 6.22
All observed combinations

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:45 together · 7 games

xG share66.0%
Corsi for / against
55 / 44
Fenwick for / against
43 / 30
Corsi share
55.6%
Fenwick share
58.9%
xG for / against
3.53 / 1.82
Defense pair

85:54 together · 10 games

xG share47.9%
Corsi for / against
77 / 105
Fenwick for / against
60 / 80
Corsi share
42.3%
Fenwick share
42.9%
xG for / against
4.07 / 4.43
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
102
Save %
92.2
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
41.2

Logan Thompson

Washington Capitals · Last start: Oct 28

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
142
Save %
88.7
Goals allowed
16
Close-range shots %
31.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.95
xG against / game
2.38
xG differential / game
1.57

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Washington Capitals

xG for / game
3.52
xG against / game
3.20
xG differential / game
0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 14, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
59.1
Fenwick share (%)
60.8
Faceoff win %
49.3
Penalties / game
3.3

Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft

Washington Capitals

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
56.7
Corsi share (%)
48.1
Fenwick share (%)
49.5
Faceoff win %
49.1
Penalties / game
4.1

Shots / game: 27.8 · Shooting: 12.2% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
22Points14
0.786Points %0.636
53Goals for39
34Goals against34
19Goal differential5
W2Current streakW2
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH home
9Games8
7Wins6
15Points12
15Goal differential6
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Washington Capitals WSH
8-1-1Record6-4-0
17Points12
42Goals for34
22Goals against32
20Goal differential2
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 5 wins
10 games reviewed
Washington Capitals WSH 5 wins
Total goals31 – 30
Goal differential +1 / -1
Goals per game3.1 / 3.0
Shots per game34.0 / 25.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Oct 13, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 4 22 - 35 View
Oct 2, 2026
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 2 27 - 33 View
Jan 31, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 4 22 - 42 View
Dec 11, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
3 - 2 39 - 25 View
Nov 11, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 1 28 - 31 View
Apr 10, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
4 - 5 34 - 28 View
Apr 2, 2025
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 5 21 - 31 View
Dec 20, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals Washington Capitals
1 - 3 25 - 22 View
Nov 3, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 4 21 - 45 View
Apr 5, 2024
Washington Capitals Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 4 16 - 45 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR WSH