Forward trio
93:14 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 109 / 66
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 53
- Corsi share
- 62.3%
- Fenwick share
- 59.2%
- xG for / against
- 6.17 / 3.92
Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 31, 2026
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 31, 2026.
January 31, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
162:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 197 / 109
- Fenwick for / against
- 135 / 85
- Corsi share
- 64.4%
- Fenwick share
- 61.4%
- xG for / against
- 7.91 / 6.96
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
40:55 together · 5 games
- Corsi for / against
- 42 / 42
- Fenwick for / against
- 33 / 24
- Corsi share
- 50.0%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 1.89 / 2.08
Defense pair
76:53 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 83 / 80
- Fenwick for / against
- 61 / 61
- Corsi share
- 50.9%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.97 / 3.85
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Brandon Bussi
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Jan 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 127
- Save %
- 92.1
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Charlie Lindgren
Washington Capitals · Last start: Jan 29
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 171
- Save %
- 87.7
- Goals allowed
- 21
- Close-range shots %
- 28.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.63
- xG against / game
- 2.73
- xG differential / game
- 0.90
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Washington Capitals
- xG for / game
- 3.23
- xG against / game
- 3.36
- xG differential / game
- -0.13
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 31, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 60.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 59.6
- Faceoff win %
- 54.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.7
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 11.8% · Avg distance: 34.6 ft
Washington Capitals
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.6
- Faceoff win %
- 52.0
- Penalties / game
- 4.8
Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 9.1% · Avg distance: 32.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 14 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.636 |
| 53 | Goals for | 39 |
| 34 | Goals against | 34 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 5 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
WSH home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 8 |
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 15 | Points | 12 |
| 15 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
WSH
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 17 | Points | 12 |
| 42 | Goals for | 34 |
| 22 | Goals against | 32 |
| 20 | Goal differential | 2 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
5 wins
10
games reviewed
WSH
5 wins
Total goals35 – 30
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.5 / 3.0
Shots per game34.4 / 22.4
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Washington Capitals
|
3 - 2 | 39 - 25 | View |
| Nov 11, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 1 | 28 - 31 | View |
| Apr 10, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Washington Capitals
|
4 - 5 | 34 - 28 | View |
| Apr 2, 2025 |
Washington Capitals
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 5 | 21 - 31 | View |
| Dec 20, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Washington Capitals
|
1 - 3 | 25 - 22 | View |
| Nov 3, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 4 | 21 - 45 | View |
| Apr 5, 2024 |
Washington Capitals
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 4 | 16 - 45 | View |
| Mar 22, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Washington Capitals
|
6 - 7 | 31 - 25 | View |
| Jan 5, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Washington Capitals
|
6 - 2 | 34 - 17 | View |
| Dec 17, 2023 |
Washington Capitals
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 1 | 21 - 29 | View |