Forward trio
109:49 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 123 / 90
- Fenwick for / against
- 90 / 71
- Corsi share
- 57.7%
- Fenwick share
- 55.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.43 / 5.54
Carolina Hurricanes vs Vancouver Canucks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 4, 2026
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Vancouver Canucks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 4, 2026.
March 4, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
163:00 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 171 / 124
- Fenwick for / against
- 109 / 88
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 55.3%
- xG for / against
- 6.41 / 6.35
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
84:41 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 72 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 58
- Corsi share
- 47.7%
- Fenwick share
- 48.7%
- xG for / against
- 3.39 / 4.25
Defense pair
118:09 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 95 / 126
- Fenwick for / against
- 75 / 85
- Corsi share
- 43.0%
- Fenwick share
- 46.9%
- xG for / against
- 4.89 / 7.48
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Frederik Andersen
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Mar 2
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 91.3
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 31.2
Nikita Tolopilo
Vancouver Canucks · Last start: Mar 2
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 165
- Save %
- 92.1
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.9
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.29
- xG against / game
- 2.92
- xG differential / game
- 0.37
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Vancouver Canucks
- xG for / game
- 2.70
- xG against / game
- 3.75
- xG differential / game
- -1.05
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 4, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 66.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 57.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 55.7
- Faceoff win %
- 50.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.0
Shots / game: 30.6 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 34.5 ft
Vancouver Canucks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 50.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 44.4
- Fenwick share (%)
- 45.0
- Faceoff win %
- 48.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.6
Shots / game: 25.0 · Shooting: 8.0% · Avg distance: 33.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 7 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.250 |
| 53 | Goals for | 43 |
| 34 | Goals against | 65 |
| 19 | Goal differential | -22 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
VAN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 6 |
| 7 | Wins | 1 |
| 15 | Points | 2 |
| 15 | Goal differential | -8 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
VAN
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 1-8-1 |
| 17 | Points | 3 |
| 42 | Goals for | 24 |
| 22 | Goals against | 47 |
| 20 | Goal differential | -23 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
6 wins
10
games reviewed
VAN
4 wins
Total goals30 – 25
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.0 / 2.5
Shots per game30.3 / 24.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 17 - 38 | View |
| Jan 10, 2025 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
0 - 2 | 14 - 20 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 27 | View |
| Feb 6, 2024 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 2 | 19 - 24 | View |
| Dec 9, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 24 | View |
| Jan 15, 2023 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 32 | View |
| Oct 24, 2022 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
3 - 2 | 39 - 16 | View |
| Jan 15, 2022 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 4 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Dec 12, 2021 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Vancouver Canucks
|
1 - 2 | 29 - 26 | View |
| Feb 2, 2020 |
Vancouver Canucks
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 35 - 32 | View |