Forward trio
111:58 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 132 / 78
- Fenwick for / against
- 94 / 64
- Corsi share
- 62.9%
- Fenwick share
- 59.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.82 / 4.28
Carolina Hurricanes vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 20, 2026
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Toronto Maple Leafs
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 20, 2026.
March 20, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
163:04 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 188 / 123
- Fenwick for / against
- 130 / 90
- Corsi share
- 60.5%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 9.77 / 7.19
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
53:59 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 47 / 65
- Fenwick for / against
- 39 / 49
- Corsi share
- 42.0%
- Fenwick share
- 44.3%
- xG for / against
- 1.86 / 4.68
Defense pair
90:58 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 120
- Fenwick for / against
- 64 / 87
- Corsi share
- 41.2%
- Fenwick share
- 42.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.57 / 6.04
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Frederik Andersen
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Mar 18
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 113
- Save %
- 85.8
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 36.3
Joseph Woll
Toronto Maple Leafs · Last start: Mar 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 162
- Save %
- 90.1
- Goals allowed
- 16
- Close-range shots %
- 32.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.77
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 1.03
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Toronto Maple Leafs
- xG for / game
- 2.55
- xG against / game
- 4.07
- xG differential / game
- -1.52
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 20, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 70.0
- Corsi share (%)
- 60.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.7
- Faceoff win %
- 48.7
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 10.9% · Avg distance: 31.8 ft
Toronto Maple Leafs
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 49.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 40.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 42.0
- Faceoff win %
- 53.5
- Penalties / game
- 5.5
Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 9.7% · Avg distance: 34.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 16 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.571 |
| 53 | Goals for | 52 |
| 34 | Goals against | 46 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
TOR home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 8 |
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 15 | Points | 9 |
| 15 | Goal differential | -1 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
TOR
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 5-3-2 |
| 17 | Points | 12 |
| 42 | Goals for | 41 |
| 22 | Goals against | 35 |
| 20 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
6 wins
10
games reviewed
TOR
4 wins
Total goals33 – 37
Goal differential
-4
/
+4
Goals per game3.3 / 3.7
Shots per game34.8 / 28.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
5 - 1 | 24 - 33 | View |
| Nov 9, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 4 | 47 - 20 | View |
| Apr 13, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 1 | 20 - 26 | View |
| Feb 22, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 6 | 35 - 23 | View |
| Jan 9, 2025 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 6 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Mar 24, 2024 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 2 | 33 - 43 | View |
| Mar 16, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
5 - 4 | 40 - 40 | View |
| Dec 30, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Mar 25, 2023 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 5 | 44 - 28 | View |
| Mar 17, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Toronto Maple Leafs
|
2 - 5 | 34 - 24 | View |