Away team
Carolina Hurricanes
58.2%
Fair American
-139
Fair decimal
1.72
Carolina Hurricanes vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 27, 2027
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 27, 2027.
March 27, 2027
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Carolina Hurricanes at 58.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
41.8%
Fair American
+139
Fair decimal
2.39
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 27, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 9-3
- Net units
- 2.25
- ROI
- 18.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -17.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 14
- Record
- 10-4
- Net units
- 1.55
- ROI
- 11.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 5-3
- Net units
- 2.59
- ROI
- 32.4%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 8
- Record
- 4-4
- Net units
- 0.85
- ROI
- 10.7%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -0.38
- ROI
- -9.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
109:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 143 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 61
- Corsi share
- 62.7%
- Fenwick share
- 63.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.55 / 3.53
Defense pair
164:37 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 176 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 130 / 81
- Corsi share
- 59.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.6%
- xG for / against
- 8.35 / 6.22
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
62:36 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 62 / 60
- Fenwick for / against
- 44 / 50
- Corsi share
- 50.8%
- Fenwick share
- 46.8%
- xG for / against
- 3.72 / 4.52
Defense pair
83:42 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 96 / 88
- Fenwick for / against
- 70 / 70
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 50.0%
- xG for / against
- 3.95 / 5.54
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Carolina Hurricanes
Expected starter unavailable.
Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Pyotr Kochetkov
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 101
- Save %
- 92.1
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 40.6
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Oct 24
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 138
- Save %
- 90.6
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.6
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.37
- xG differential / game
- 1.58
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.15
- xG against / game
- 3.33
- xG differential / game
- -0.18
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 27, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 59.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.9
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.9
- Fenwick share (%)
- 50.1
- Faceoff win %
- 46.6
- Penalties / game
- 2.9
Shots / game: 26.5 · Shooting: 9.8% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 11 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 53 | Goals for | 40 |
| 34 | Goals against | 40 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 5 |
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 15 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 17 | Points | 7 |
| 42 | Goals for | 27 |
| 22 | Goals against | 35 |
| 20 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
7 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
3 wins
Total goals35 – 28
Goal differential
+7
/
-7
Goals per game3.5 / 2.8
Shots per game32.6 / 27.8
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 1 | 26 - 19 | View |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
5 - 6 | 35 - 44 | View |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 43 | View |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Jan 5, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 5 | 36 - 18 | View |
| Oct 18, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 38 - 26 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 4 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 3 | 40 - 35 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 2 | 24 - 25 | View |