Forward trio
110:05 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 77
- Fenwick for / against
- 91 / 61
- Corsi share
- 62.1%
- Fenwick share
- 59.9%
- xG for / against
- 5.98 / 3.92
Carolina Hurricanes vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 22, 2026
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 22, 2026.
March 22, 2026
· 2:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
161:02 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 187 / 121
- Fenwick for / against
- 129 / 83
- Corsi share
- 60.7%
- Fenwick share
- 60.8%
- xG for / against
- 9.31 / 6.53
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
54:18 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 54 / 44
- Fenwick for / against
- 41 / 32
- Corsi share
- 55.1%
- Fenwick share
- 56.2%
- xG for / against
- 2.43 / 1.55
Defense pair
135:00 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 142 / 130
- Fenwick for / against
- 101 / 97
- Corsi share
- 52.2%
- Fenwick share
- 51.0%
- xG for / against
- 6.81 / 7.21
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Brandon Bussi
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Mar 20
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 119
- Save %
- 84.0
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 30.3
Arturs Silovs
Pittsburgh Penguins · Last start: Mar 21
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 84.3
- Goals allowed
- 19
- Close-range shots %
- 24.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.83
- xG against / game
- 2.76
- xG differential / game
- 1.07
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Pittsburgh Penguins
- xG for / game
- 3.45
- xG against / game
- 3.66
- xG differential / game
- -0.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 22, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 70.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 61.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 61.3
- Faceoff win %
- 48.0
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 10.6% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Pittsburgh Penguins
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 58.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 48.6
- Faceoff win %
- 43.9
- Penalties / game
- 4.1
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 12.4% · Avg distance: 31.7 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 11 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.458 |
| 53 | Goals for | 40 |
| 34 | Goals against | 40 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 0 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 5 |
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 15 | Goal differential | 6 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 3-6-1 |
| 17 | Points | 7 |
| 42 | Goals for | 27 |
| 22 | Goals against | 35 |
| 20 | Goal differential | -8 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
7 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
3 wins
Total goals34 – 29
Goal differential
+5
/
-5
Goals per game3.4 / 2.9
Shots per game33.4 / 28.7
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
5 - 6 | 35 - 44 | View |
| Mar 10, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 5 | 28 - 43 | View |
| Dec 30, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 5 | 28 - 28 | View |
| Jan 5, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 19 - 31 | View |
| Nov 7, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
1 - 5 | 36 - 18 | View |
| Oct 18, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
4 - 1 | 38 - 26 | View |
| Mar 26, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 4 | 39 - 22 | View |
| Jan 13, 2024 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 3 | 40 - 35 | View |
| Dec 21, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 2 | 24 - 25 | View |
| Nov 18, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 4 | 28 - 34 | View |