Skip to content

Carolina Hurricanes vs Philadelphia Flyers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 3, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 3, 2026.

October 3, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

10-2-2

3 Model pick
Final
Home

Philadelphia Flyers

3-7-4

2
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 53.7% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

53.7%
Fair American -116
Fair decimal 1.86
Best market -129 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 56.3%
Edge -2.6%
Expected value -4.7%
Calculate value
Philadelphia Flyers logo
Home team

Philadelphia Flyers

46.3%
Fair American +116
Fair decimal 2.16
Best market +114 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 46.7%
Edge -0.4%
Expected value -0.9%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 3, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

12:14 together · 2 games

xG share21.7%
Corsi for / against
14 / 9
Fenwick for / against
7 / 7
Corsi share
60.9%
Fenwick share
50.0%
xG for / against
0.24 / 0.86
Defense pair

25:33 together · 2 games

xG share47.8%
Corsi for / against
24 / 18
Fenwick for / against
16 / 14
Corsi share
57.1%
Fenwick share
53.3%
xG for / against
1.06 / 1.15
All observed combinations

Philadelphia Flyers

2 / 2 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

30:27 together · 2 games

xG share19.0%
Corsi for / against
27 / 49
Fenwick for / against
21 / 40
Corsi share
35.5%
Fenwick share
34.4%
xG for / against
0.69 / 2.97
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Brandon Bussi

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 2

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
47
Save %
87.2
Goals allowed
6
Close-range shots %
29.8

Joseph Woll

Philadelphia Flyers · Last start: Oct 1

1 / 1 appearances covered

Shots faced
44
Save %
93.2
Goals allowed
3
Close-range shots %
31.8
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.41
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
0.48

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Philadelphia Flyers

xG for / game
1.83
xG against / game
4.72
xG differential / game
-2.89

2 / 2 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 3, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
59.0
Corsi share (%)
55.7
Fenwick share (%)
53.9
Faceoff win %
51.7
Penalties / game
6.5

Shots / game: 24.0 · Shooting: 4.2% · Avg distance: 29.2 ft

Philadelphia Flyers

2 / 2 games covered

Attempts / game
44.0
Corsi share (%)
35.9
Fenwick share (%)
36.1
Faceoff win %
55.7
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 22.0 · Shooting: 4.5% · Avg distance: 35.0 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
22Points10
0.786Points %0.357
53Goals for27
34Goals against46
19Goal differential-19
W2Current streakOT1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI home
9Games8
7Wins2
15Points7
15Goal differential-11
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Philadelphia Flyers PHI
8-1-1Record3-5-2
17Points8
42Goals for22
22Goals against29
20Goal differential-7
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Philadelphia Flyers PHI 2 wins
Total goals36 – 22
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game3.6 / 2.2
Shots per game32.1 / 23.6
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 13, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
2 - 3 26 - 23 View
Dec 14, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 26 - 32 View
Dec 13, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 3 21 - 18 View
Oct 11, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 4 23 - 39 View
Mar 15, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
5 - 0 30 - 26 View
Nov 20, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 37 - 19 View
Nov 5, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 6 16 - 35 View
Mar 21, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 32 - 33 View
Nov 28, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers
4 - 1 36 - 29 View
Nov 15, 2023
Philadelphia Flyers Philadelphia Flyers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 1 24 - 32 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR PHI