Forward trio
109:05 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 153 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 115 / 56
- Corsi share
- 65.9%
- Fenwick share
- 67.3%
- xG for / against
- 9.00 / 4.50
Carolina Hurricanes vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 5, 2026.
April 5, 2026
· 4:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
157:59 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 213 / 115
- Fenwick for / against
- 153 / 77
- Corsi share
- 64.9%
- Fenwick share
- 66.5%
- xG for / against
- 9.08 / 6.71
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
92:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 110 / 72
- Fenwick for / against
- 87 / 51
- Corsi share
- 60.4%
- Fenwick share
- 63.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.21 / 3.65
Defense pair
64:31 together · 8 games
- Corsi for / against
- 81 / 36
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 30
- Corsi share
- 69.2%
- Fenwick share
- 67.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.88 / 2.57
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Brandon Bussi
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Apr 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 116
- Save %
- 87.1
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 32.8
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Apr 4
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 136
- Save %
- 89.0
- Goals allowed
- 15
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.93
- xG against / game
- 2.69
- xG differential / game
- 1.24
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.92
- xG differential / game
- 0.44
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 75.6
- Corsi share (%)
- 62.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 62.6
- Faceoff win %
- 50.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.6
Shots / game: 34.1 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 59.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.7
- Faceoff win %
- 55.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 30.1 · Shooting: 9.0% · Avg distance: 35.0 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 16 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 53 | Goals for | 39 |
| 34 | Goals against | 38 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 7 |
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 17 | Points | 12 |
| 42 | Goals for | 29 |
| 22 | Goals against | 30 |
| 20 | Goal differential | -1 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
7 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
3 wins
Total goals38 – 25
Goal differential
+13
/
-13
Goals per game3.8 / 2.5
Shots per game30.4 / 29.3
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 25 - 18 | View |
| Jan 24, 2026 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 1 | 19 - 36 | View |
| Apr 17, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 7 | 33 - 32 | View |
| Dec 13, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 0 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Nov 16, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
0 - 4 | 24 - 28 | View |
| Mar 17, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
7 - 2 | 38 - 32 | View |
| Dec 12, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 1 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Oct 11, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 5 | 30 - 42 | View |
| Apr 10, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Ottawa Senators
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 32 | View |
| Apr 4, 2023 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 37 | View |