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Carolina Hurricanes vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 24, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 24, 2026.

January 24, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

96:17 together · 10 games

xG share68.2%
Corsi for / against
126 / 70
Fenwick for / against
93 / 55
Corsi share
64.3%
Fenwick share
62.8%
xG for / against
7.88 / 3.68
Defense pair

159:31 together · 10 games

xG share60.0%
Corsi for / against
207 / 97
Fenwick for / against
149 / 72
Corsi share
68.1%
Fenwick share
67.4%
xG for / against
9.59 / 6.40
All observed combinations

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

125:30 together · 9 games

xG share49.6%
Corsi for / against
127 / 111
Fenwick for / against
83 / 86
Corsi share
53.4%
Fenwick share
49.1%
xG for / against
5.73 / 5.83
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Frederik Andersen

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Jan 22

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
117
Save %
88.0
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
42.7

James Reimer

Ottawa Senators · Last start: Jan 22

3 / 3 appearances covered

Shots faced
82
Save %
89.0
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
34.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.74
xG against / game
2.67
xG differential / game
1.07

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Ottawa Senators

xG for / game
3.34
xG against / game
2.58
xG differential / game
0.77

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 24, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.5
Corsi share (%)
60.7
Fenwick share (%)
60.4
Faceoff win %
56.8
Penalties / game
3.8

Shots / game: 33.2 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

Ottawa Senators

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
61.7
Corsi share (%)
54.0
Fenwick share (%)
54.5
Faceoff win %
54.5
Penalties / game
4.8

Shots / game: 29.3 · Shooting: 11.3% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
22Points16
0.786Points %0.615
53Goals for39
34Goals against38
19Goal differential1
W2Current streakL1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT home
9Games7
7Wins5
15Points10
15Goal differential1
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Ottawa Senators OTT
8-1-1Record6-4-0
17Points12
42Goals for29
22Goals against30
20Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Ottawa Senators OTT 4 wins
Total goals37 – 25
Goal differential +12 / -12
Goals per game3.7 / 2.5
Shots per game34.2 / 29.5
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 17, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
5 - 7 33 - 32 View
Dec 13, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 0 22 - 32 View
Nov 16, 2024
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 24 - 28 View
Mar 17, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
7 - 2 38 - 32 View
Dec 12, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
4 - 1 28 - 32 View
Oct 11, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 5 30 - 42 View
Apr 10, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
2 - 3 29 - 32 View
Apr 4, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 28 - 37 View
Feb 24, 2023
Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 32 - 30 View
Feb 8, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Ottawa Senators Ottawa Senators
3 - 4 45 - 31 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.