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Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 5, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 5, 2026.

February 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

95:44 together · 10 games

xG share50.3%
Corsi for / against
105 / 74
Fenwick for / against
78 / 62
Corsi share
58.7%
Fenwick share
55.7%
xG for / against
5.59 / 5.52
Defense pair

165:45 together · 10 games

xG share50.7%
Corsi for / against
185 / 127
Fenwick for / against
123 / 94
Corsi share
59.3%
Fenwick share
56.7%
xG for / against
7.46 / 7.25
All observed combinations

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

103:35 together · 10 games

xG share46.6%
Corsi for / against
90 / 108
Fenwick for / against
63 / 84
Corsi share
45.5%
Fenwick share
42.9%
xG for / against
4.59 / 5.25
Defense pair

148:41 together · 10 games

xG share43.1%
Corsi for / against
128 / 141
Fenwick for / against
81 / 112
Corsi share
47.6%
Fenwick share
42.0%
xG for / against
4.86 / 6.42
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Brandon Bussi

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Feb 3

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
120
Save %
90.8
Goals allowed
11
Close-range shots %
35.8

Jonathan Quick

New York Rangers · Last start: Jan 31

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
122
Save %
83.6
Goals allowed
20
Close-range shots %
31.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.54
xG against / game
3.01
xG differential / game
0.53

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Rangers

xG for / game
2.58
xG against / game
3.18
xG differential / game
-0.60

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
63.2
Corsi share (%)
56.5
Fenwick share (%)
54.6
Faceoff win %
51.8
Penalties / game
3.9

Shots / game: 29.1 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 34.2 ft

New York Rangers

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.3
Corsi share (%)
48.1
Fenwick share (%)
46.5
Faceoff win %
58.3
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 24.4 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 33.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
22Points15
0.786Points %0.536
53Goals for44
34Goals against42
19Goal differential2
W2Current streakL3
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
New York Rangers NYR home
9Games7
7Wins6
15Points12
15Goal differential16
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
New York Rangers NYR
8-1-1Record4-5-1
17Points9
42Goals for33
22Goals against36
20Goal differential-3
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 7 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Rangers NYR 3 wins
Total goals33 – 17
Goal differential +16 / -16
Goals per game3.3 / 1.7
Shots per game30.4 / 24.0
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 29, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 19 - 34 View
Nov 26, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 2 18 - 38 View
Nov 4, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 0 32 - 26 View
Apr 12, 2025
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 7 31 - 28 View
Jan 28, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers New York Rangers
4 - 0 26 - 22 View
Dec 22, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers New York Rangers
3 - 1 33 - 23 View
Nov 27, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 4 22 - 31 View
Mar 12, 2024
New York Rangers New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 0 24 - 28 View
Jan 2, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers New York Rangers
6 - 1 27 - 29 View
Nov 2, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers New York Rangers
1 - 2 27 - 26 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.