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Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Islanders prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 5, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 5, 2026.

November 5, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

9-2-2

53.0% Model pick
at
Home

New York Islanders

5-4-2

47.0%
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 53.0%
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

53.0%
Fair American -113
Fair decimal 1.89
Calculate value
New York Islanders logo
Home team

New York Islanders

47.0%
Fair American +113
Fair decimal 2.13
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 5, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

164:18 together · 10 games

xG share59.9%
Corsi for / against
180 / 122
Fenwick for / against
134 / 85
Corsi share
59.6%
Fenwick share
61.2%
xG for / against
8.72 / 5.83
All observed combinations

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

54:55 together · 7 games

xG share46.9%
Corsi for / against
51 / 56
Fenwick for / against
37 / 43
Corsi share
47.7%
Fenwick share
46.3%
xG for / against
2.96 / 3.35
Defense pair

121:23 together · 10 games

xG share56.3%
Corsi for / against
126 / 86
Fenwick for / against
86 / 63
Corsi share
59.4%
Fenwick share
57.7%
xG for / against
5.72 / 4.44
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie predictions

Expected starters

Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 24

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
105
Save %
92.4
Goals allowed
8
Close-range shots %
35.2

Ilya Sorokin

New York Islanders · Last start: Oct 25

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
135
Save %
88.9
Goals allowed
15
Close-range shots %
28.1
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.96
xG against / game
2.40
xG differential / game
1.56

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

New York Islanders

xG for / game
2.97
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.33

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 5, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
67.9
Corsi share (%)
59.4
Fenwick share (%)
60.4
Faceoff win %
50.0
Penalties / game
3.5

Shots / game: 35.3 · Shooting: 13.0% · Avg distance: 31.3 ft

New York Islanders

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
54.0
Corsi share (%)
49.2
Fenwick share (%)
48.7
Faceoff win %
56.0
Penalties / game
4.5

Shots / game: 25.9 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 33.5 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
20Points12
0.769Points %0.545
51Goals for32
33Goals against29
18Goal differential3
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
New York Islanders NYI home
9Games6
7Wins4
15Points9
15Goal differential8
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
New York Islanders NYI
8-1-1Record5-3-2
17Points12
46Goals for31
25Goals against27
21Goal differential4
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 6 wins
10 games reviewed
New York Islanders NYI 4 wins
Total goals39 – 28
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.9 / 2.8
Shots per game32.9 / 26.3
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 14, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 1 21 - 29 View
Apr 4, 2026
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 4 16 - 40 View
Oct 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 6 28 - 34 View
Mar 30, 2025
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 6 31 - 30 View
Jan 25, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
2 - 3 27 - 27 View
Dec 17, 2024
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 32 - 29 View
Dec 7, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
3 - 4 31 - 25 View
Mar 19, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders New York Islanders
4 - 1 34 - 31 View
Dec 23, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 4 28 - 40 View
Nov 30, 2023
New York Islanders New York Islanders at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
5 - 4 16 - 43 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR NYI