Away team
Carolina Hurricanes
53.3%
Fair American
-114
Fair decimal
1.88
Carolina Hurricanes vs Minnesota Wild prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 9, 2027
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Minnesota Wild
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 9, 2027.
March 9, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Carolina Hurricanes at 53.3%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Minnesota Wild
46.7%
Fair American
+114
Fair decimal
2.14
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 9, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 9-3
- Net units
- 2.25
- ROI
- 18.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -17.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 14
- Record
- 10-4
- Net units
- 1.55
- ROI
- 11.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 6-1
- Net units
- 2.96
- ROI
- 42.3%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.36
- ROI
- 7.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 7-2
- Net units
- 2.61
- ROI
- 29.0%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
109:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 143 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 61
- Corsi share
- 62.7%
- Fenwick share
- 63.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.55 / 3.53
Defense pair
164:37 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 176 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 130 / 81
- Corsi share
- 59.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.6%
- xG for / against
- 8.35 / 6.22
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
122:56 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 156 / 79
- Fenwick for / against
- 120 / 63
- Corsi share
- 66.4%
- Fenwick share
- 65.6%
- xG for / against
- 9.91 / 4.10
Defense pair
95:18 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 126 / 62
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 42
- Corsi share
- 67.0%
- Fenwick share
- 70.0%
- xG for / against
- 7.48 / 3.46
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Carolina Hurricanes
Expected starter unavailable.
Minnesota Wild
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Pyotr Kochetkov
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 101
- Save %
- 92.1
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 40.6
Jesper Wallstedt
Minnesota Wild · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 120
- Save %
- 92.5
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 31.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.37
- xG differential / game
- 1.58
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Minnesota Wild
- xG for / game
- 3.93
- xG against / game
- 2.71
- xG differential / game
- 1.21
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 9, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 59.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Minnesota Wild
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 64.7
- Corsi share (%)
- 55.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 57.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.5
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 32.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.8 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 20 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.714 |
| 53 | Goals for | 44 |
| 34 | Goals against | 31 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 13 |
| W2 | Current streak | W3 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
MIN home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 4 |
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 15 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
MIN
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 17 | Points | 15 |
| 42 | Goals for | 33 |
| 22 | Goals against | 23 |
| 20 | Goal differential | 10 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
3 wins
10
games reviewed
MIN
7 wins
Total goals22 – 30
Goal differential
-8
/
+8
Goals per game2.2 / 3.0
Shots per game32.8 / 24.1
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 4 | 45 - 19 | View |
| Nov 6, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 4 | 24 - 27 | View |
| Feb 6, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 38 - 24 | View |
| Jan 4, 2025 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 0 | 27 - 21 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Minnesota Wild
|
3 - 2 | 28 - 30 | View |
| Jan 21, 2024 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
5 - 2 | 19 - 42 | View |
| Jan 19, 2023 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 5 | 31 - 29 | View |
| Nov 19, 2022 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Minnesota Wild
|
1 - 2 | 21 - 21 | View |
| Apr 2, 2022 |
Minnesota Wild
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 1 | 19 - 38 | View |
| Feb 12, 2022 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Minnesota Wild
|
2 - 3 | 39 - 27 | View |