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Carolina Hurricanes vs Detroit Red Wings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for January 12, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for January 12, 2026.

January 12, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Defense pair

87:58 together · 9 games

xG share55.2%
Corsi for / against
108 / 77
Fenwick for / against
85 / 57
Corsi share
58.4%
Fenwick share
59.9%
xG for / against
5.65 / 4.58
All observed combinations

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

77:40 together · 7 games

xG share36.3%
Corsi for / against
58 / 60
Fenwick for / against
38 / 46
Corsi share
49.2%
Fenwick share
45.2%
xG for / against
1.86 / 3.26
Defense pair

177:35 together · 10 games

xG share39.5%
Corsi for / against
131 / 173
Fenwick for / against
93 / 119
Corsi share
43.1%
Fenwick share
43.9%
xG for / against
4.94 / 7.58
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Brandon Bussi

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
107
Save %
86.9
Goals allowed
14
Close-range shots %
36.4

John Gibson

Detroit Red Wings · Last start: Jan 10

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
141
Save %
95.0
Goals allowed
7
Close-range shots %
27.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
3.54
xG against / game
2.93
xG differential / game
0.61

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Detroit Red Wings

xG for / game
2.46
xG against / game
3.30
xG differential / game
-0.85

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Jan 12, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
64.6
Corsi share (%)
56.7
Fenwick share (%)
56.9
Faceoff win %
52.4
Penalties / game
3.0

Shots / game: 30.7 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft

Detroit Red Wings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
51.5
Corsi share (%)
44.1
Fenwick share (%)
44.1
Faceoff win %
50.0
Penalties / game
2.8

Shots / game: 23.6 · Shooting: 13.6% · Avg distance: 33.8 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
22Points13
0.786Points %0.542
53Goals for33
34Goals against37
19Goal differential-4
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET home
9Games7
7Wins3
15Points7
15Goal differential-3
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Detroit Red Wings DET
8-1-1Record5-2-3
17Points13
42Goals for31
22Goals against32
20Goal differential-1
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 8 wins
10 games reviewed
Detroit Red Wings DET 2 wins
Total goals31 – 17
Goal differential +14 / -14
Goals per game3.1 / 1.7
Shots per game32.3 / 22.4
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Dec 27, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 5 20 - 38 View
Apr 4, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
3 - 5 33 - 21 View
Mar 14, 2025
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 4 26 - 32 View
Mar 4, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 1 30 - 25 View
Mar 28, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 4 24 - 33 View
Jan 19, 2024
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 4 12 - 30 View
Dec 14, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 1 39 - 26 View
Apr 11, 2023
Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
1 - 4 21 - 28 View
Mar 30, 2023
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
2 - 3 33 - 22 View
Dec 13, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
1 - 0 27 - 27 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.