Away team
Carolina Hurricanes
56.2%
Fair American
-128
Fair decimal
1.78
Carolina Hurricanes vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 23, 2027
NHL matchup
Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 23, 2027.
March 23, 2027
· 7:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Carolina Hurricanes at 56.2%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Dallas Stars
43.8%
Fair American
+128
Fair decimal
2.28
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Mar 23, 2027.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 12
- Record
- 9-3
- Net units
- 2.25
- ROI
- 18.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 2
- Record
- 1-1
- Net units
- -0.35
- ROI
- -17.3%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 14
- Record
- 10-4
- Net units
- 1.55
- ROI
- 11.1%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 3
- Record
- 2-1
- Net units
- 0.09
- ROI
- 3.1%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 0
- Record
- 0-0
- Net units
- 0.00
- ROI
- —
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 10
- Record
- 6-4
- Net units
- -0.45
- ROI
- -4.5%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
109:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 143 / 85
- Fenwick for / against
- 107 / 61
- Corsi share
- 62.7%
- Fenwick share
- 63.7%
- xG for / against
- 6.55 / 3.53
Defense pair
164:37 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 176 / 119
- Fenwick for / against
- 130 / 81
- Corsi share
- 59.7%
- Fenwick share
- 61.6%
- xG for / against
- 8.35 / 6.22
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
46:49 together · 6 games
- Corsi for / against
- 42 / 39
- Fenwick for / against
- 29 / 21
- Corsi share
- 51.9%
- Fenwick share
- 58.0%
- xG for / against
- 2.54 / 0.89
Defense pair
84:31 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 83 / 61
- Fenwick for / against
- 55 / 38
- Corsi share
- 57.6%
- Fenwick share
- 59.1%
- xG for / against
- 3.20 / 2.10
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Carolina Hurricanes
Expected starter unavailable.
Dallas Stars
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Pyotr Kochetkov
Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 101
- Save %
- 92.1
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 40.6
Casey DeSmith
Dallas Stars · Last start: Oct 27
3 / 3 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 80
- Save %
- 88.8
- Goals allowed
- 9
- Close-range shots %
- 35.0
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
- xG for / game
- 3.95
- xG against / game
- 2.37
- xG differential / game
- 1.58
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Dallas Stars
- xG for / game
- 3.29
- xG against / game
- 2.64
- xG differential / game
- 0.66
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 23, 2027. This game and later dates are excluded.
Carolina Hurricanes
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 67.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 59.2
- Fenwick share (%)
- 60.9
- Faceoff win %
- 49.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.3
Shots / game: 35.0 · Shooting: 12.0% · Avg distance: 31.0 ft
Dallas Stars
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 55.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.1
- Faceoff win %
- 56.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 26.8 · Shooting: 11.6% · Avg distance: 30.3 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
CAR
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Points | 15 |
| 0.786 | Points % | 0.625 |
| 53 | Goals for | 33 |
| 34 | Goals against | 25 |
| 19 | Goal differential | 8 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
Road versus home
|
CAR road
|
Metric |
DAL home
|
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Games | 7 |
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 15 | Points | 8 |
| 15 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
CAR
|
Metric |
DAL
|
|---|---|---|
| 8-1-1 | Record | 7-2-1 |
| 17 | Points | 15 |
| 42 | Goals for | 32 |
| 22 | Goals against | 19 |
| 20 | Goal differential | 13 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
CAR
5 wins
10
games reviewed
DAL
5 wins
Total goals31 – 31
Goal differential
0
/
0
Goals per game3.1 / 3.1
Shots per game31.7 / 22.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 |
Dallas Stars
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
3 - 6 | 22 - 32 | View |
| Oct 25, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 34 | View |
| Jan 21, 2025 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 1 | 19 - 23 | View |
| Nov 25, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 6 | 19 - 34 | View |
| Feb 24, 2024 |
Dallas Stars
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
2 - 1 | 16 - 21 | View |
| Feb 13, 2024 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Dallas Stars
|
2 - 4 | 34 - 23 | View |
| Jan 25, 2023 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Dallas Stars
|
3 - 2 | 24 - 21 | View |
| Dec 17, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 5 | 30 - 38 | View |
| Mar 24, 2022 |
Dallas Stars
at
Carolina Hurricanes
|
4 - 3 | 15 - 47 | View |
| Nov 30, 2021 |
Carolina Hurricanes
at
Dallas Stars
|
1 - 4 | 40 - 17 | View |