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Carolina Hurricanes vs Chicago Blackhawks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for October 10, 2026

NHL matchup

Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for October 10, 2026.

October 10, 2026 · 6:00 PM CST
Away

Carolina Hurricanes

10-2-2

5 Model pick
Final
Home

Chicago Blackhawks

4-8-0

2
Model V2 pick: Carolina Hurricanes at 58.1% View final boxscore
Prediction

Model V2 versus market

Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.

Carolina Hurricanes logo
Away team

Carolina Hurricanes

58.1%
Fair American -139
Fair decimal 1.72
Best market -238 · BetOnline.ag
Market implied 70.4%
Edge -12.3%
Expected value -17.5%
Calculate value
Chicago Blackhawks logo
Home team

Chicago Blackhawks

41.9%
Fair American +139
Fair decimal 2.39
Best market +220 · Bovada
Market implied 31.2%
Edge +10.6%
Expected value +34.1%
Calculate value
Simulated betting results

Team performance leading into this game

Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Oct 10, 2026.

This game and later dates are excluded.

Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Carolina Hurricanes

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

41:10 together · 5 games

xG share60.6%
Corsi for / against
52 / 26
Fenwick for / against
32 / 20
Corsi share
66.7%
Fenwick share
61.5%
xG for / against
2.66 / 1.73
Defense pair

69:32 together · 5 games

xG share50.5%
Corsi for / against
67 / 54
Fenwick for / against
44 / 41
Corsi share
55.4%
Fenwick share
51.8%
xG for / against
3.13 / 3.07
All observed combinations

Chicago Blackhawks

5 / 5 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

51:53 together · 5 games

xG share48.5%
Corsi for / against
44 / 46
Fenwick for / against
36 / 34
Corsi share
48.9%
Fenwick share
51.4%
xG for / against
2.04 / 2.17
Defense pair

47:07 together · 5 games

xG share31.7%
Corsi for / against
33 / 58
Fenwick for / against
26 / 43
Corsi share
36.3%
Fenwick share
37.7%
xG for / against
1.35 / 2.91
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Pyotr Kochetkov

Carolina Hurricanes · Last start: Oct 8

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
38
Save %
89.5
Goals allowed
4
Close-range shots %
28.9

Arvid Soderblom

Chicago Blackhawks · Last start: Oct 8

2 / 2 appearances covered

Shots faced
50
Save %
82.0
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
36.0
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

xG for / game
4.18
xG against / game
2.58
xG differential / game
1.59

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Chicago Blackhawks

xG for / game
2.04
xG against / game
3.52
xG differential / game
-1.48

5 / 5 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Oct 10, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Carolina Hurricanes

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
63.8
Corsi share (%)
59.6
Fenwick share (%)
60.5
Faceoff win %
50.7
Penalties / game
5.8

Shots / game: 30.8 · Shooting: 11.7% · Avg distance: 30.8 ft

Chicago Blackhawks

5 / 5 games covered

Attempts / game
44.6
Corsi share (%)
43.6
Fenwick share (%)
42.4
Faceoff win %
41.9
Penalties / game
3.6

Shots / game: 20.0 · Shooting: 10.0% · Avg distance: 34.9 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
22Points8
0.786Points %0.333
53Goals for26
34Goals against44
19Goal differential-18
W2Current streakW1
Road versus home
Carolina Hurricanes CAR road
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI home
9Games8
7Wins4
15Points8
15Goal differential-5
Last 10 games
Carolina Hurricanes CAR
Metric
Chicago Blackhawks CHI
8-1-1Record4-6-0
17Points8
42Goals for24
22Goals against33
20Goal differential-9
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Carolina Hurricanes CAR 9 wins
10 games reviewed
Chicago Blackhawks CHI 1 wins
Total goals43 – 22
Goal differential +21 / -21
Goals per game4.3 / 2.2
Shots per game35.2 / 23.2
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Apr 9, 2026
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
7 - 2 22 - 25 View
Jan 22, 2026
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
4 - 3 22 - 31 View
Jan 30, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
2 - 3 20 - 27 View
Jan 20, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 48 - 25 View
Apr 14, 2024
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 2 34 - 16 View
Feb 19, 2024
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 6 17 - 42 View
Dec 27, 2022
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
0 - 3 24 - 49 View
Nov 14, 2022
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
3 - 0 32 - 27 View
Nov 3, 2021
Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks
4 - 3 32 - 30 View
Oct 29, 2021
Chicago Blackhawks Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes Carolina Hurricanes
3 - 6 26 - 35 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.
Daily edge board Best odds Full schedule Standings CAR CHI