Forward trio
93:15 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 72
- Fenwick for / against
- 82 / 47
- Corsi share
- 58.6%
- Fenwick share
- 63.6%
- xG for / against
- 6.88 / 3.03
Buffalo Sabres vs San Jose Sharks prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 19, 2026
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 19, 2026.
March 19, 2026
· 9:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
101:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 74 / 55
- Corsi share
- 57.0%
- Fenwick share
- 57.4%
- xG for / against
- 3.97 / 4.84
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
95:34 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 91 / 82
- Fenwick for / against
- 72 / 61
- Corsi share
- 52.6%
- Fenwick share
- 54.1%
- xG for / against
- 5.83 / 5.18
Defense pair
143:36 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 146 / 133
- Fenwick for / against
- 112 / 104
- Corsi share
- 52.3%
- Fenwick share
- 51.9%
- xG for / against
- 8.38 / 8.60
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 146
- Save %
- 91.8
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 36.3
Alex Nedeljkovic
San Jose Sharks · Last start: Mar 17
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 147
- Save %
- 91.2
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 32.7
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.58
- xG against / game
- 3.22
- xG differential / game
- 0.36
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
San Jose Sharks
- xG for / game
- 2.95
- xG against / game
- 3.19
- xG differential / game
- -0.25
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 19, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 61.3
- Corsi share (%)
- 51.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 52.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.0
- Penalties / game
- 5.0
Shots / game: 30.8 · Shooting: 12.7% · Avg distance: 33.0 ft
San Jose Sharks
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.4
- Corsi share (%)
- 48.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.1
- Faceoff win %
- 45.9
- Penalties / game
- 3.9
Shots / game: 27.3 · Shooting: 12.8% · Avg distance: 31.9 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 13 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.500 |
| 33 | Goals for | 37 |
| 41 | Goals against | 45 |
| -8 | Goal differential | -8 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
SJS home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 5 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| -3 | Goal differential | -5 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
SJS
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 4-5-1 |
| 11 | Points | 9 |
| 26 | Goals for | 28 |
| 32 | Goals against | 33 |
| -6 | Goal differential | -5 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
7 wins
10
games reviewed
SJS
3 wins
Total goals39 – 29
Goal differential
+10
/
-10
Goals per game3.9 / 2.9
Shots per game31.5 / 27.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 6 | 20 - 26 | View |
| Mar 4, 2025 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
6 - 2 | 28 - 22 | View |
| Nov 23, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 33 | View |
| Jan 27, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
5 - 2 | 36 - 26 | View |
| Jan 15, 2024 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 3 | 28 - 35 | View |
| Feb 18, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
4 - 2 | 31 - 35 | View |
| Dec 4, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 6 | 29 - 38 | View |
| Jan 6, 2022 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 2 | 21 - 39 | View |
| Nov 2, 2021 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
San Jose Sharks
|
3 - 5 | 28 - 27 | View |
| Oct 22, 2019 |
San Jose Sharks
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 4 | 28 - 29 | View |