Away team
Buffalo Sabres
51.9%
Fair American
-108
Fair decimal
1.93
Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 5, 2026
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Pittsburgh Penguins
View the PlayerWON model prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 5, 2026.
March 5, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model favourite
Buffalo Sabres
at 51.9%
Prediction
Model versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Pittsburgh Penguins
48.1%
Fair American
+108
Fair decimal
2.08
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 109 | Points | 98 |
| 0.665 | Points % | 0.598 |
| 288 | Goals for | 293 |
| 241 | Goals against | 268 |
| 47 | Goal differential | 25 |
| OT1 | Current streak | L3 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
PIT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Games | 41 |
| 24 | Wins | 20 |
| 52 | Points | 48 |
| 17 | Goal differential | 7 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
PIT
|
|---|---|---|
| 6-3-1 | Record | 5-5-0 |
| 13 | Points | 10 |
| 34 | Goals for | 46 |
| 30 | Goals against | 40 |
| 4 | Goal differential | 6 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
3 wins
10
games reviewed
PIT
7 wins
Total goals28 – 37
Goal differential
-9
/
+9
Goals per game2.8 / 3.7
Shots per game33.4 / 31.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 2 | 32 - 28 | View |
| Nov 26, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
2 - 4 | 31 - 19 | View |
| Mar 27, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 7 | 25 - 30 | View |
| Jan 17, 2025 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 2 | 19 - 42 | View |
| Oct 16, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
5 - 6 | 33 - 43 | View |
| Jan 6, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
3 - 1 | 32 - 41 | View |
| Nov 24, 2023 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 33 - 34 | View |
| Nov 11, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
0 - 4 | 35 - 39 | View |
| Dec 10, 2022 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Pittsburgh Penguins
|
1 - 3 | 38 - 31 | View |
| Dec 9, 2022 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 3 | 33 - 31 | View |