Forward trio
93:55 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 89 / 87
- Fenwick for / against
- 60 / 70
- Corsi share
- 50.6%
- Fenwick share
- 46.2%
- xG for / against
- 3.19 / 3.88
Buffalo Sabres vs Ottawa Senators prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for April 2, 2026
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Ottawa Senators
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for April 2, 2026.
April 2, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
143:35 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 149 / 105
- Fenwick for / against
- 114 / 83
- Corsi share
- 58.7%
- Fenwick share
- 57.9%
- xG for / against
- 7.14 / 6.53
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
88:16 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 103 / 71
- Fenwick for / against
- 79 / 50
- Corsi share
- 59.2%
- Fenwick share
- 61.2%
- xG for / against
- 5.33 / 3.58
Defense pair
92:46 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 108 / 54
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 44
- Corsi share
- 66.7%
- Fenwick share
- 64.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.46 / 3.57
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 31
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 149
- Save %
- 93.3
- Goals allowed
- 10
- Close-range shots %
- 26.2
Linus Ullmark
Ottawa Senators · Last start: Mar 31
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 128
- Save %
- 89.1
- Goals allowed
- 14
- Close-range shots %
- 31.2
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.27
- xG against / game
- 2.81
- xG differential / game
- 0.47
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Ottawa Senators
- xG for / game
- 3.60
- xG against / game
- 2.97
- xG differential / game
- 0.63
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Apr 2, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 63.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.6
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.8
- Faceoff win %
- 49.1
- Penalties / game
- 4.2
Shots / game: 29.1 · Shooting: 10.3% · Avg distance: 32.6 ft
Ottawa Senators
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 52.1
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.1
- Faceoff win %
- 55.3
- Penalties / game
- 3.8
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Points | 16 |
| 0.500 | Points % | 0.667 |
| 31 | Goals for | 38 |
| 41 | Goals against | 34 |
| -10 | Goal differential | 4 |
| OT1 | Current streak | W1 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
OTT home
|
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games | 7 |
| 1 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Points | 10 |
| -5 | Goal differential | 1 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
OTT
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 28 | Goals for | 31 |
| 35 | Goals against | 31 |
| -7 | Goal differential | 0 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
8 wins
10
games reviewed
OTT
2 wins
Total goals42 – 29
Goal differential
+13
/
-13
Goals per game4.2 / 2.9
Shots per game29.1 / 34.2
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Ottawa Senators
|
3 - 2 | 25 - 26 | View |
| Oct 15, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 8 | 37 - 27 | View |
| Apr 1, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Ottawa Senators
|
5 - 2 | 22 - 35 | View |
| Mar 25, 2025 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 3 | 32 - 24 | View |
| Jan 9, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Ottawa Senators
|
4 - 0 | 21 - 35 | View |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
1 - 5 | 38 - 34 | View |
| Mar 27, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
6 - 2 | 42 - 36 | View |
| Jan 11, 2024 |
Ottawa Senators
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 5 | 28 - 32 | View |
| Dec 31, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Ottawa Senators
|
1 - 5 | 46 - 31 | View |
| Oct 24, 2023 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Ottawa Senators
|
6 - 4 | 24 - 38 | View |