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Buffalo Sabres vs Los Angeles Kings prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for March 21, 2026

NHL matchup

Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings

View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for March 21, 2026.

March 21, 2026 · 3:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game. View final boxscore
Recent usage

Forward trios & defense pairs

Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

94:25 together · 10 games

xG share67.7%
Corsi for / against
103 / 77
Fenwick for / against
83 / 53
Corsi share
57.2%
Fenwick share
61.0%
xG for / against
6.98 / 3.33
Defense pair

108:13 together · 10 games

xG share46.1%
Corsi for / against
103 / 81
Fenwick for / against
80 / 64
Corsi share
56.0%
Fenwick share
55.6%
xG for / against
4.54 / 5.31
All observed combinations

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes

Forward trio

115:14 together · 9 games

xG share51.4%
Corsi for / against
139 / 110
Fenwick for / against
102 / 79
Corsi share
55.8%
Fenwick share
56.4%
xG for / against
5.80 / 5.50
Defense pair

142:29 together · 10 games

xG share48.4%
Corsi for / against
166 / 153
Fenwick for / against
121 / 100
Corsi share
52.0%
Fenwick share
54.8%
xG for / against
6.30 / 6.73
All observed combinations

Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.

Goalie context

Recent starting goalies

Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.

Alex Lyon

Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Mar 19

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
115
Save %
92.2
Goals allowed
9
Close-range shots %
30.4

Darcy Kuemper

Los Angeles Kings · Last start: Mar 19

5 / 5 appearances covered

Shots faced
111
Save %
89.2
Goals allowed
12
Close-range shots %
34.2
Pregame context · xG V1

Recent expected goals

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

xG for / game
3.42
xG against / game
3.02
xG differential / game
0.41

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Los Angeles Kings

xG for / game
2.88
xG against / game
3.03
xG differential / game
-0.15

10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.

Recent play-by-play

Team tendencies before this game

Last 10 completed regular-season games before Mar 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.

Buffalo Sabres

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
58.6
Corsi share (%)
51.3
Fenwick share (%)
52.2
Faceoff win %
50.5
Penalties / game
4.8

Shots / game: 28.5 · Shooting: 14.4% · Avg distance: 32.0 ft

Los Angeles Kings

10 / 10 games covered

Attempts / game
65.7
Corsi share (%)
51.5
Fenwick share (%)
53.2
Faceoff win %
51.0
Penalties / game
2.6

Shots / game: 28.8 · Shooting: 11.1% · Avg distance: 34.3 ft

Team comparison

Season and recent form

Season overview
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
13Points8
0.542Points %0.364
33Goals for28
41Goals against37
-8Goal differential-9
W1Current streakL1
Road versus home
Buffalo Sabres BUF road
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK home
6Games3
2Wins0
7Points0
-3Goal differential-7
Last 10 games
Buffalo Sabres BUF
Metric
Los Angeles Kings LAK
4-3-3Record3-5-2
11Points8
26Goals for24
32Goals against29
-6Goal differential-5
History

Last 10 head-to-head games

Buffalo Sabres BUF 6 wins
10 games reviewed
Los Angeles Kings LAK 4 wins
Total goals31 – 20
Goal differential +11 / -11
Goals per game3.1 / 2.0
Shots per game27.6 / 31.8
Date Matchup Score Shots Details
Jan 29, 2026
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
1 - 4 38 - 32 View
Nov 20, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
1 - 0 19 - 23 View
Oct 10, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 1 23 - 33 View
Feb 13, 2024
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
0 - 7 33 - 24 View
Jan 24, 2024
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
5 - 3 37 - 40 View
Feb 13, 2023
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 5 29 - 28 View
Dec 13, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
0 - 6 40 - 31 View
Mar 6, 2022
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
3 - 0 32 - 19 View
Oct 31, 2021
Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings
2 - 3 24 - 34 View
Dec 21, 2019
Los Angeles Kings Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres Buffalo Sabres
2 - 3 27 - 28 View
This matchup prediction is generated using playerWON’s Model V2, incorporating team performance, recent form, and home/away effects. View full model performance to compare results across games.