Away team
Buffalo Sabres
37.6%
Fair American
+166
Fair decimal
2.66
Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for November 21, 2026
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for November 21, 2026.
November 21, 2026
· 5:00 PM CST
Model V2 pick:
Florida Panthers at 62.4%
Prediction
Model V2 versus market
Compare PlayerWON win probabilities with fair odds and available market data.
Home team
Florida Panthers
62.4%
Fair American
-166
Fair decimal
1.6
Simulated betting results
Team performance leading into this game
Model V2 · One-unit bets backing each team before Nov 21, 2026.
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 7
- Record
- 3-4
- Net units
- -1.66
- ROI
- -23.7%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 6
- Record
- 1-5
- Net units
- -4.07
- ROI
- -67.8%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 5
- Record
- 3-2
- Net units
- 0.10
- ROI
- 2.0%
All Model Picks
- Bets
- 4
- Record
- 2-2
- Net units
- -1.10
- ROI
- -27.6%
Value Picks
- Bets
- 1
- Record
- 0-1
- Net units
- -1.00
- ROI
- -100.0%
Market Favourite
- Bets
- 9
- Record
- 5-4
- Net units
- -0.93
- ROI
- -10.4%
This game and later dates are excluded.
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
89:52 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 94 / 46
- Fenwick for / against
- 62 / 34
- Corsi share
- 67.1%
- Fenwick share
- 64.6%
- xG for / against
- 5.12 / 2.16
Defense pair
82:50 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 70 / 73
- Fenwick for / against
- 48 / 49
- Corsi share
- 49.0%
- Fenwick share
- 49.5%
- xG for / against
- 3.17 / 3.45
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
77:07 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 102 / 57
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 48
- Corsi share
- 64.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.5%
- xG for / against
- 5.59 / 3.21
Defense pair
126:24 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 130 / 94
- Fenwick for / against
- 98 / 77
- Corsi share
- 58.0%
- Fenwick share
- 56.0%
- xG for / against
- 5.44 / 4.23
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie predictions
Expected starters
Estimated starting chances among eligible goalies. These are model predictions, not confirmed starters.
Buffalo Sabres
Expected starter unavailable.
Florida Panthers
Expected starter unavailable.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Colten Ellis
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Oct 27
4 / 4 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 82
- Save %
- 90.2
- Goals allowed
- 8
- Close-range shots %
- 26.8
Akira Schmid
Florida Panthers · Last start: Oct 27
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 121
- Save %
- 89.3
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 33.1
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.17
- xG against / game
- 3.59
- xG differential / game
- -0.41
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.36
- xG against / game
- 2.74
- xG differential / game
- 0.62
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Nov 21, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 57.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 50.0
- Fenwick share (%)
- 49.0
- Faceoff win %
- 47.4
- Penalties / game
- 4.3
Shots / game: 27.6 · Shooting: 9.4% · Avg distance: 30.7 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.5
- Corsi share (%)
- 54.8
- Fenwick share (%)
- 53.2
- Faceoff win %
- 45.6
- Penalties / game
- 5.6
Shots / game: 29.0 · Shooting: 11.4% · Avg distance: 32.4 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 33 | Goals for | 39 |
| 41 | Goals against | 37 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 3 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 26 | Goals for | 33 |
| 32 | Goals against | 30 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
5 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
5 wins
Total goals30 – 29
Goal differential
+1
/
-1
Goals per game3.0 / 2.9
Shots per game27.8 / 32.5
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
3 - 5 | 23 - 32 | View |
| Feb 27, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
3 - 2 | 39 - 29 | View |
| Feb 2, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 20 - 41 | View |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 34 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 36 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 5 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 42 | View |