Forward trio
106:40 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 97 / 111
- Fenwick for / against
- 77 / 92
- Corsi share
- 46.6%
- Fenwick share
- 45.6%
- xG for / against
- 7.03 / 7.53
Buffalo Sabres vs Florida Panthers prediction, odds, win probability, and matchup analysis for February 27, 2026
NHL matchup
Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers
View the PlayerWON Model V2 prediction, fair odds, market comparison, team performance, and recent head-to-head history for February 27, 2026.
February 27, 2026
· 6:00 PM CST
Model V2 prediction is not available yet for this game.
View final boxscore
Recent usage
Forward trios & defense pairs
Most-used five-on-five trio and defense pair from each team's last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27. Historical usage, not confirmed lines for this matchup.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Defense pair
105:32 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 84 / 98
- Fenwick for / against
- 67 / 77
- Corsi share
- 46.2%
- Fenwick share
- 46.5%
- xG for / against
- 4.65 / 5.47
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered · Minimum 5 shared minutes
Forward trio
46:32 together · 7 games
- Corsi for / against
- 46 / 28
- Fenwick for / against
- 37 / 22
- Corsi share
- 62.2%
- Fenwick share
- 62.7%
- xG for / against
- 2.62 / 1.58
Defense pair
131:30 together · 10 games
- Corsi for / against
- 109 / 86
- Fenwick for / against
- 80 / 67
- Corsi share
- 55.9%
- Fenwick share
- 54.4%
- xG for / against
- 4.77 / 4.69
Ambiguous events and unreliable intervals are excluded. xG requires complete current scoring for each contributing game. These summaries do not change the model prediction.
Goalie context
Recent starting goalies
Each team's last recorded starter before this matchup. These are not confirmed or projected starters for this game. Results cover their last 5 appearances before the matchup.
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
Buffalo Sabres · Last start: Feb 25
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 132
- Save %
- 90.9
- Goals allowed
- 12
- Close-range shots %
- 38.6
Sergei Bobrovsky
Florida Panthers · Last start: Feb 26
5 / 5 appearances covered
- Shots faced
- 103
- Save %
- 87.4
- Goals allowed
- 13
- Close-range shots %
- 38.8
Pregame context · xG V1
Recent expected goals
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
- xG for / game
- 3.05
- xG against / game
- 3.45
- xG differential / game
- -0.39
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Florida Panthers
- xG for / game
- 3.13
- xG against / game
- 2.57
- xG differential / game
- 0.56
10 / 10 selected games fully scored. Historical chance quality, not a forecast of this game's goals.
Recent play-by-play
Team tendencies before this game
Last 10 completed regular-season games before Feb 27, 2026. This game and later dates are excluded.
Buffalo Sabres
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 54.2
- Corsi share (%)
- 46.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 46.2
- Faceoff win %
- 43.6
- Penalties / game
- 3.4
Shots / game: 27.5 · Shooting: 14.2% · Avg distance: 33.1 ft
Florida Panthers
10 / 10 games covered
- Attempts / game
- 60.1
- Corsi share (%)
- 56.3
- Fenwick share (%)
- 56.1
- Faceoff win %
- 50.0
- Penalties / game
- 6.7
Shots / game: 29.6 · Shooting: 10.5% · Avg distance: 31.5 ft
Team comparison
Season and recent form
Season overview
|
BUF
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Points | 16 |
| 0.542 | Points % | 0.615 |
| 33 | Goals for | 39 |
| 41 | Goals against | 37 |
| -8 | Goal differential | 2 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
Road versus home
|
BUF road
|
Metric |
FLA home
|
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games | 3 |
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 4 |
| -3 | Goal differential | 3 |
Last 10 games
|
BUF
|
Metric |
FLA
|
|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | Record | 6-4-0 |
| 11 | Points | 12 |
| 26 | Goals for | 33 |
| 32 | Goals against | 30 |
| -6 | Goal differential | 3 |
History
Last 10 head-to-head games
BUF
3 wins
10
games reviewed
FLA
7 wins
Total goals24 – 31
Goal differential
-7
/
+7
Goals per game2.4 / 3.1
Shots per game28.2 / 34.0
| Date | Matchup | Score | Shots | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
5 - 3 | 20 - 41 | View |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 3 | 32 - 23 | View |
| Oct 18, 2025 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
0 - 3 | 32 - 31 | View |
| Apr 12, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 28 - 34 | View |
| Mar 8, 2025 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
0 - 4 | 21 - 36 | View |
| Oct 28, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
5 - 2 | 31 - 28 | View |
| Oct 12, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
2 - 5 | 25 - 27 | View |
| Apr 13, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 29 - 42 | View |
| Feb 27, 2024 |
Buffalo Sabres
at
Florida Panthers
|
2 - 3 | 30 - 37 | View |
| Feb 15, 2024 |
Florida Panthers
at
Buffalo Sabres
|
4 - 0 | 30 - 45 | View |